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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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James Picerno
No Free Lunches in the Desperate Search for Yield By James Picerno - Feb 23, 2023

Cash is no longer trash, courtesy of sharply higher interest rates. Trailing yields on risky assets are looking up too.The source for the change in payout rates, of course, is a run of rate hikes by...

Alfonso Peccatiello
Is it Time to Buy Bonds? By Alfonso Peccatiello - Feb 22, 2023

There is a time to be long, a time to be short, and a time to go fishing.As inflation skyrocketed and the Fed turned hawkish, bonds were kryptonite for investors for most of 2022: it was time to be...

James Picerno
Will the Recovery in U.S. Bonds Continue? By James Picerno - Feb 10, 2023

After taking a beating last year, US fixed income securities have clawed back some of the losses so far in 2023, based on a set of ETFs through yesterday's close (Feb. 9). But with the Federal Reserve...

Antoine Bouvet
Rates Spark: The Range Is Your Friend By Antoine Bouvet - Feb 08, 2023

Through the recent gyrations, markets seem to lack the conviction needed to push new lows in rates. The resulting range-trading environment brings lower rates of volatility and better risk appetite....

James Picerno
Treasury Market Predicts Fed Rate Hikes Are Done By James Picerno - Feb 03, 2023

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates again this week and Chairman Jerome Powell says more hikes are coming. The bond market disagrees.The 2-Year Treasury yield – widely monitored as a proxy...

Chris Kimble
Odds Favor Lower Bond Yields in Months Ahead By Chris Kimble - Jan 20, 2023

Interest rates have risen rather quickly as the Federal Reserve attempts to fight inflation. Will the move be a case of too far, too fast?Today’s long-term monthly chart of the United States...

Chris Kimble
Are Interest Rates Creating Giant Reversal Pattern? By Chris Kimble - Dec 07, 2022 1

The past few years have seen extreme volatility in the bond market, equating to similar interest rate fluctuations.And it all started with the onset of the coronavirus. The initial panic decline in...

Chris Kimble
Are Investment Grade Bonds About to Rally? By Chris Kimble - Dec 07, 2022

Considering our national debt and the debts of companies and consumers, it’s evident that the bond market is critical to our economy.This is likely why the iShares iBoxx Investment Grade...

Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
Emerging Market Bonds Bounce: More Upside Likely By Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT - Nov 29, 2022

Weaker domestic inflation and lower dollar tailwinds for international fixed income Emerging market bonds have rallied sharply off their October low Continuation likely, but gains could be...

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