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Copper bounces off 6-year low on hopes for China stimulus

Published 2015-08-10, 03:19 a/m
© Reuters.  Copper bounces off 6-year low amid China stimulus hopes
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Investing.com - Copper prices bounced off a six-year low on Monday, as a recent batch of disappointing Chinese economic data fueled speculation policymakers in Beijing will have to introduce further stimulus measures to boost growth.

Copper for September delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange inched up 1.1 cents, or 0.48%, to trade at $2.344 a pound during European morning hours.

On Friday, copper tumbled to $2.313, a level not seen since June 2009, before ending at $2.332, down 0.8 cents, or 0.36%. Copper prices lost 2.3 cents, or 1.31%, last week, the sixth consecutive weekly decline, amid growing concerns over the health of China's economy.

Government data released on Sunday showed that Chinese producer prices fell by a more-than-expected 5.4% in July, the 40th straight monthly decline and the worst reading since October 2009.

Consumer prices rose 1.6% last month, above expectations for 1.5% and up from 1.4% in June.

On Saturday, data showed that the country’s trade surplus narrowed to $43.0 billion last month from $46.5 billion in June, compared to estimates for a surplus of $53.3 billion.

Chinese exports slumped 8.3% from a year earlier, far worse than forecasts for a decline of 1.0% and the biggest fall in four months. Imports dropped 8.1%, broadly in line with expectations for a drop of 8.0%.

A slowdown in domestic demand indicated a recovery in the broader economy remains fragile and may need further government stimulus.

The Asian nation is the world’s largest copper consumer, accounting for almost 40% of world consumption last year.

Elsewhere, gold futures for December delivery tacked on $3.50, or 0.32%, to trade at $1,097.60 a troy ounce, while silver futures for September delivery rose 8.9 cents, or 0.6% to trade at $14.91 an ounce.

Gold nudged higher as traders continued to mull the timing of a Federal Reserve rate hike following the release of solid U.S. nonfarm payrolls data on Friday.

The Labor Department reported that the U.S. economy added 215,000 jobs last month, slightly lower than forecasts for an increase of 223,000, but still consistent with strong employment growth.

The unemployment rate remained unchanged at a seven-year low of 5.3%, in line with expectations.

Hourly earnings, a component of the jobs report that the Federal Reserve has said must rise, ticked up 0.2%, also matching forecasts after stalling in the previous month.

The data did little to alter expectations for a September rate increase by the Federal Reserve, but it tempered speculation for multiple rate hikes before the end of the year.

Gold has been under heavy selling pressure in recent months amid speculation the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in September for the first time since 2006.

Expectations of higher borrowing rates going forward is considered bearish for gold, as the precious metal struggles to compete with yield-bearing assets when rates are on the rise.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was little changed at 97.65 early Monday, not far from last week's three-month highs of 98.42.

The greenback has been boosted recently by expectations that the improving U.S. economy will prompt the Federal Reserve to raise short term interest rates as early as September.

In the week ahead, investors will be looking to Thursday’s U.S. retail sales data for a further indication on the durability of the economic recovery. Speeches by Fed officials on Monday will also be in focus.

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