🔥 Premium AI-powered Stock Picks from InvestingPro Now up to 50% OffCLAIM SALE

Alberta trims deficit, warns low oil prices slowing economic growth

Published 2018-11-30, 01:31 p/m
© Reuters.  Alberta trims deficit, warns low oil prices slowing economic growth
CL
-
CNQ
-
CVE
-

By Rod Nickel

Nov 30 (Reuters) - The Alberta government on Friday trimmed its 2018-2019 budget deficit estimate, but downgraded the 2019 economic growth forecast in the Canadian province due to faltering crude oil prices.

The deficit looks to reach C$7.5 billion ($5.7 billion), compared with C$7.8 billion projected in August, the government said in a statement.

The left-leaning New Democrat government led by Premier Rachel Notley had budgeted in April for an C$8.8 billion deficit. She faces a provincial election in spring.

Low Canadian oil prices compared to the U.S. West Texas Intermediate benchmark (WTI) reflect full pipelines that have stranded crude supplies in Alberta, away from the U.S. refineries that buy the oil.

"This is a crisis," Finance Minister Joe Ceci said in a statement, referring to the price discount known as the differential. "If the differential is not addressed, our entire country could be plunged into a downturn."

The province downgraded its forecast for 2019 economic growth to 2 percent from a budgeted 2.5 percent, due to oil production curtailments amounting to 150,000 barrels per day and expected weaker corporate profits.

It continues to forecast a return to fiscal balance in 2023-24.

Discounts on Canadian crude hit record highs in October, compared with WTI prices. WTI has tumbled sharply since October.

Even so, Alberta expects non-renewable resource revenue, mainly from oil and gas, to rise in 2018-19 to C$5.3 billion, exceeding the C$3.8 billion that it had budgeted. The higher revenue estimate reflects more favorable oil prices between spring, when the budget was set, and autumn, government officials said.

The government assumes an average discount of $29.25 per barrel for Canadian heavy crude in 2018-19, against an expected WTI CLc1 price averaging $64 a barrel.

Alberta is the No. 1 crude exporter to the United States.

Low oil prices are so damaging to Alberta's economy that the provincial government plans to buy trains to transport an additional 120,000 barrels per day of crude, hoping to improve prices by smoothing transport to buyers. is also considering calls from some oil producers, including Cenovus Energy CVE.TO and Canadian Natural Resources CNQ.TO , to impose mandatory oil production cuts on producers.

Alberta expects to spend C$56.6 billion in 2018-19 and collect C$49.6 billion in revenue.

The budget includes a C$500 million cushion for risk.

The 2018-19 fiscal year ends on March 31.

($1 = 1.3281 Canadian dollars)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.