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Baird raises Waste Management stock PT on commodity, diesel adjustments

Published 2024-07-23, 12:54 p/m
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On Tuesday, Baird adjusted its outlook on Waste Management (NYSE: NYSE:WM), increasing the stock's price target to $226 from the previous $222 while maintaining a Neutral rating. The firm's analyst cited adjustments in commodity pricing assumptions and a decrease in diesel costs as the primary reasons for the change. Minimal additional changes were noted in the evaluation of the company.

The analyst pointed out that D3 RINs, a type of Renewable Identification Number, have been trading at just over $3.00 throughout the quarter to date, which aligns with the year-to-date levels observed. This consistency in trading prices has been factored into the revised outlook.

Waste Management's financial forecasts, as mentioned by the analyst, do not take into account the possible acquisition of Stericycle (NASDAQ:SRCL), a potential business development that could influence the company's future performance. The decision to exclude this from the current analysis suggests a focus on the company's existing operations and market conditions.

The new price target of $226 is based on a valuation multiple of 15 times the company’s projected enterprise value to 2025 estimated earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/2025E EBITDA). This valuation method remains unchanged from Baird's previous assessments of Waste Management's stock.

Investors and market watchers will likely monitor how Waste Management's stock responds to the updated price target and whether the company's performance aligns with Baird's expectations. The announcement provides a snapshot of the firm's financial outlook, emphasizing the impact of commodity and diesel prices on its valuation.

In other recent news, Waste Management is set to acquire Stericycle, a provider of medical waste and secure information destruction services, for an enterprise value of $7.2 billion, according to Oppenheimer analysts. Stifel, maintaining a Buy rating on Waste Management, raised its shares target to $231 based on an expectation of sustained double-digit compound annual growth rate in free cash flow over the next five years.

On the other hand, BMO (TSX:BMO) Capital Markets retained its Market Perform rating on Waste Management, noting the company's strategy to manage its financial leverage through potential moves such as the monetization of its landfill gas portfolio.

Citi also maintained its Buy rating on Waste Management amidst the acquisition talks, suggesting that the transaction could initially be neutral to the company's earnings per share and free cash flow.

Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) initiated coverage on Waste Management with a Buy rating, highlighting the company's extensive presence and industry-leading capabilities. These developments indicate analysts' confidence in Waste Management's robust approach to financial management and its ability to execute its growth projections.

In other sectors, UBS analysts anticipate that banks such as JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) & Chase, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), Discover Financial, NYSE:KEY, and NYSE:SYF could benefit from reduced capital and liquidity rules and relaxed financial regulations under a potential Trump administration.

Conversely, UBS expects solar manufacturers such as NASDAQ:FSLR, NYSE:NEE, and NASDAQ:RUN to continue receiving incentives if Biden secures reelection.

These are among the recent developments in the financial market.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Baird's updated price target for Waste Management (NYSE: WM), real-time data and insights from InvestingPro provide a broader perspective on the company's financial health and stock performance. With a substantial market capitalization of $89.67 billion and a high P/E ratio of 36.33, Waste Management reflects both its industry prominence and investor confidence. The company's P/E ratio, adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, sits at 33.55, suggesting that the stock is trading at a premium relative to its earnings.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that Waste Management has a commendable track record of raising dividends, with payments maintained for 27 consecutive years, which is a testament to its financial stability and commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, the company's stock is noted to trade with low price volatility, providing a relatively stable investment option in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. For investors looking for in-depth analysis and additional insights, InvestingPro offers numerous tips on Waste Management. Using the coupon code PRONEWS24, readers can get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, unlocking further valuable information to guide investment decisions.

Revenue growth remains modest with a 3.83% increase over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, while the quarterly revenue growth in Q1 2024 was slightly higher at 5.46%. These figures may reassure investors of the company's consistent performance, aligning with Baird's neutral yet optimistic outlook. Moreover, the stock is trading near its 52-week high, at 99.31% of this peak value, indicating strong market sentiment. The dividend yield stands at 1.34%, with a notable dividend growth of 7.14% over the last twelve months, further highlighting Waste Management's appeal to income-focused investors.

For those seeking to delve deeper into Waste Management's financials and stock performance, additional InvestingPro Tips are available, offering a comprehensive analysis of the company's outlook. Visit https://www.investing.com/pro/WM for more detailed insights and consider enhancing your investment strategy with the exclusive insights from InvestingPro.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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