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Citi raises Darden Restaurants shares target on strong market share strategy

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-06-21, 06:24 a/m
DRI
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On Friday, Citi maintained a Buy rating on Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI) stock, slightly increasing the price target to $192 from the previous $191. The firm's analysis highlights Darden's consistent strategy of focusing on offering everyday value and high service levels to gain market share, as opposed to using discounts to boost sales.

Citi's assessment underscores the company's long-term commitment to a strategy that has been cultivated over the last decade. This approach is designed to attract customers and maintain a profitable transaction equation without significant changes to the company's consumer messaging.

Emphasis on everyday value is expected to become more prominent in Darden's advertising, but this is not anticipated to impact the company's earnings or transaction dynamics.

The firm's report points to the strength and durability of Darden's business model and portfolio, which has allowed the company to become a leading player with approximately 4.2% market share in the fragmented U.S. full-service restaurant category.

According to Citi, Darden's current valuation, which is less than 16 times the projected CY25E EPS and roughly 1.5 times below the 10-year average, presents an attractive opportunity for investors.

Darden Restaurants' commitment to long-term shareholder return (LT TSR) is also acknowledged as a testament to the company's strategic stability. The firm's commentary suggests confidence in Darden's ability to continue thriving without altering the fundamental aspects of its success in the competitive dining industry.

In other recent news, Darden Restaurants reported a 6.8% increase in total sales to $3 billion and steady earnings per share at $2.62. Despite a 3.3% traffic decline at Olive Garden, the company managed to achieve profitable sales growth, with Evercore ISI maintaining a price target of $165 on Darden.

Analysts also noted a 0.8% traffic increase at LongHorn Steakhouse in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year. Darden plans to open 45 to 50 new restaurants in fiscal 2025, with capital expenditures estimated between $250 million and $300 million.

Analysts from BTIG and Truist Securities maintained positive ratings on Darden, while Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) reduced its price target from $183 to $180, citing industry challenges and potential increased marketing expenses.

These are recent developments following Darden's earnings report. The company's focus on profitable sales growth and maintaining off-premise sales stability is expected to navigate through near-term challenges and continue its market share expansion.

InvestingPro Insights

As Citi maintains a positive outlook on Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), real-time data and insights from InvestingPro further enrich the investment thesis for potential and current investors. With a market capitalization of $18.42 billion and a P/E ratio standing at 17.81, Darden's financial health is robust. Investors may find the company's recent revenue growth of 8.53% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 particularly encouraging, signaling a strong trajectory in earnings potential.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Darden's commitment to rewarding shareholders, as evidenced by its consistent dividend growth, having raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years and maintaining payments for 30 consecutive years. This could be an attractive point for income-seeking investors. Additionally, the company's low price volatility suggests a stable investment for risk-averse individuals. On the flip side, Darden is trading at a high Price / Book multiple of 8.44, which might indicate the stock is valued richly in terms of its net assets. For investors seeking a deeper dive into Darden's financials and strategic positioning, there are 9 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed by visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/DRI. Don't forget to use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking further insights and analytics to guide investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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