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Goldman Sachs sees limited upside for BOC Hong Kong shares despite robust profits

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-08-30, 03:10 a/m
BHKLY
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On Friday, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) adjusted its price target for BOC Hong Kong (2388:HK) (OTC: BHKLY) shares, reducing it to HK$27.70 from the previous HK$30.10, while retaining a Buy rating on the stock. This revision follows the announcement of the bank's second-quarter financial performance.

BOC Hong Kong posted a second-quarter operating profit of HK$12.2 billion, marking a 14% increase year-over-year. The result surpassed expectations, beating the company-compiled consensus by 11% and Goldman Sachs estimates by 20%. Despite the strong earnings, the bank's dividend payout ratio for the first half of the year was at a record low of 30%.

The bank's capital adequacy remained robust, with the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET 1) Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) reaching just above 20%, a record level for the institution.

Meanwhile, asset quality indicators were positive, with the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remaining stable at approximately 1% both half-over-half and quarter-over-quarter. Credit costs did rise compared to the previous quarter but were still lower than Goldman Sachs' expectations and aligned with the consensus.

Goldman Sachs anticipates a muted response from the market to BOC Hong Kong's earnings report. The forecast is based on the balance between the positive earnings surprise and stable NPL levels against the backdrop of low capital returns and a continuous increase in the capital position.

After incorporating the better-than-expected second-quarter results, Goldman Sachs has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for BOC Hong Kong for the fiscal years 2024, 2025, and 2026.

The new projections show increases of 6% and 5% for FY24 and FY25, respectively, but decreases of 7% for FY26. Consequently, the 12-month price target for the bank's shares has been revised to HK$27.70.

InvestingPro Insights

As BOC Hong Kong (2388:HK) (OTC: BHKLY) continues to navigate the financial landscape, key metrics from InvestingPro provide a deeper understanding of the bank's current market position. With a robust market capitalization of $33.71 billion, BOC Hong Kong stands as a significant entity in the banking sector. The bank's attractiveness to value-oriented investors is highlighted by its low P/E ratio of 7.34, which suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its near-term earnings growth. Additionally, BOC Hong Kong's commitment to rewarding shareholders is evident through its high dividend yield of 11.57% and a remarkable track record of maintaining dividend payments for 22 consecutive years.

InvestingPro Tips also shed light on the bank's strategic financial management. BOC Hong Kong has been actively engaging in share buybacks, a move that can signal confidence from management in the bank's future prospects. The bank's significant dividend payments to shareholders further underscore its shareholder-friendly policies. On the other hand, the bank faces challenges with its gross profit margins, which InvestingPro Tips identify as a potential area of weakness.

For investors seeking additional insights, there are over 9 InvestingPro Tips available, providing a comprehensive analysis of BOC Hong Kong's financial health and future outlook. These tips, along with detailed metrics and forecasts, can be accessed on the InvestingPro platform.

Overall, these insights from InvestingPro suggest that while BOC Hong Kong is navigating some challenges, its financial strategies and shareholder returns may present opportunities for investors with a keen eye for value.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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