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Morgan Stanley adjusts GM stock outlook due to EV and market risks

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-07-24, 06:42 a/m
© Reuters.
GM
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On Wednesday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) adjusted its stance on General Motors (NYSE:GM), downgrading the stock from Overweight to Equalweight and slightly increasing the price target to $47 from $46.

The financial firm acknowledged General Motors' significant share price growth, noting that the stock has risen approximately 90% since November, making it one of the top-performing auto manufacturers globally year-to-date.

The change in rating reflects Morgan Stanley's view that the current stock price closely matches their updated price target, suggesting limited potential for further gains. The analyst pointed out that while General Motors has shown commendable capital discipline, the anticipated benefits are already reflected in the stock's recent performance.

Morgan Stanley also revised its bear case for General Motors, raising the estimate from $26 to $28, and its bull case from $60 to $62. Despite these adjustments, the firm sees a "balanced" risk-reward scenario for the automaker.

The new valuation is influenced by several factors, including the normalization of prices and mix, potential inventory and incentive increases, risks associated with the electric vehicle strategy, and a decline in profits from China.

The firm's commentary suggests that while General Motors has made notable progress, particularly during challenging times such as the UAW strike in late 2023, the stock market has already accounted for these improvements. Consequently, Morgan Stanley believes the current rating of Equalweight is more fitting, given the industry challenges and the stock's recent rally.

In other recent news, General Motors (GM) reported a strong second quarter, with earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) of $4.4 billion, surpassing even the highest estimates. This robust performance led JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) to lift GM's price target to $61, maintaining an Overweight rating.

The company's second-quarter revenue also saw a 7% increase to $48 billion, attributed to a diverse portfolio, including strong sales in ICE (NYSE:ICE) trucks and SUVs, and a growing market share in the electric vehicle (EV) segment.

GM's commitment to innovation and growth is evident in their plans to open the Orion assembly plant as a battery electric truck plant in mid-2026, as well as ongoing efforts to optimize battery chemistry and form factors to meet customer needs.

Despite facing challenges in the Chinese market, GM is restructuring its business to return to profitability. In addition, the company continues to repurchase shares, with plans to retire more shares in the fourth quarter.

Following the second quarter performance, JPMorgan increased its full-year 2024 EBIT estimate for GM to $14.0 billion. This upgrade reflects a $0.6 billion improvement for the second half of the year based on the strong second-quarter results. These recent developments underscore GM's commitment to its investors and its confidence in ongoing performance.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Morgan Stanley's recent assessment of General Motors, additional insights from InvestingPro paint a broader picture of the company's financial health and market position. General Motors is currently trading at a low P/E ratio of 5.71, which is even more attractive when considering the adjusted P/E ratio over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, standing at 4.95. This metric suggests that the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings. Moreover, the company's revenue has grown by 8.79% over the last twelve months, indicating a positive trajectory in its financial performance.

Adding to the company's appeal, InvestingPro Tips highlight that management's aggressive share buyback strategy and the fact that 7 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period could be indicators of confidence in General Motors' future profitability. Furthermore, the company's valuation implies a robust free cash flow yield, which could be a signal of financial stability and the potential for future investments or shareholder returns.

For those seeking more comprehensive analysis and additional insights, InvestingPro offers a total of 9 InvestingPro Tips for General Motors, which can be found at: https://www.investing.com/pro/GM. Interested readers can take advantage of the special offer using coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription, uncovering deeper financial details and forecasts that could impact investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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