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Morgan Stanley cuts Nestle rating to equal-weight on growth concerns

Published 2024-06-10, 09:24 a/m
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On Monday, Nestle SA (SIX:NESN:SW) (OTC: NSRGY (OTC:NSRGY)) experienced a shift in its stock outlook as Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) adjusted its rating from Overweight to Equalweight. The investment firm also established a price target for the Swiss food giant at CHF97.00.

The change in rating comes as the firm's examination of Nestle's growth potential indicates a challenging path ahead for the company to exceed the lower threshold of its projected organic sales growth (OSG). The analyst's assessment suggests that Nestle's performance may not align with the more optimistic market expectations.

In addition to growth concerns, Morgan Stanley anticipates a more conservative margin expansion for Nestle compared to the consensus view. These factors have contributed to the reevaluation of the company's investment rating.

The valuation of Nestle, according to Morgan Stanley, appears reasonable when considering the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. However, the firm points out that the free cash flow (FCF) perspective is less compelling, especially when factored against the company's growth forecast.

The new price target of CHF97.00 reflects Morgan Stanley's adjusted stance on Nestle's stock, taking into account the various financial metrics and growth prospects analyzed.

In other recent news, Nestle Health Science has acquired the rights to Vowst, a pill-based treatment for Clostridioides difficile infections, from Seres Therapeutics (NASDAQ:MCRB). The treatment, which aligns with Nestle's focus on gastrointestinal diseases, reported net sales of $10.1 million in Q1 2024.

In financial developments, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) has downgraded Nestle's stock from Overweight to Neutral, citing challenging quarters and a cautious outlook for FY 2024. The firm expects Nestle's like-for-like sales growth to be around 3.1%, falling below the company's guidance.

Meanwhile, Jefferies has maintained a Hold rating on Nestle while increasing the price target to CHF86.00. The firm attributes Nestle's first-quarter real internal growth contraction to one-time factors. Nestle has reported a modest organic sales growth of 1.4% in Q1 2024, with expectations of a rebound in sales from Q2 onwards. These are among the recent developments involving Nestle.

InvestingPro Insights

Nestle SA's (OTC: NSRGY) recent adjustment in stock outlook by Morgan Stanley brings to light the importance of examining various financial metrics and growth prospects. In light of this, InvestingPro data shows that Nestle's P/E ratio stands at a reasonable 23.24, with an adjusted P/E ratio over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 at 20.52, indicating a potential value investment relative to near-term earnings growth. Additionally, the company's dividend yield as of mid-April 2024 is 2.53%, which is noteworthy considering Nestle has raised its dividend for 33 consecutive years, a testament to its consistent shareholder returns.

Despite a slight decline in revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, Nestle maintains a strong gross profit margin at 46.09%. This financial stability is further underscored by the company's low price volatility, which can be appealing to investors seeking a more secure portfolio addition. With a market cap of 287.77B USD, Nestle continues to be a prominent player in the Food Products industry.

For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, InvestingPro offers additional insights and tips on Nestle's financial health and future prospects. There are 7 more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed for those looking to dive deeper into the company's investment potential. As an added benefit, readers can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, providing a comprehensive suite of tools to aid in making informed investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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