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Seaport maintains buy on Shoe Carnival stock amid strong March sales

Published 2024-05-24, 07:40 a/m
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On Friday, Seaport Global Securities confirmed its Buy rating on Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ:SCVL) with a consistent price target of $42.00.

The firm's assessment followed Shoe Carnival (NYSE:CCL)'s report of mixed first-quarter results for fiscal year 2024, where the company experienced a miss in same-store sales (SSS) but exceeded expectations in sales, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), and earnings per share (EPS). Furthermore, Shoe Carnival has reiterated its full-year 2024 guidance for sales and EPS.

The analyst from Seaport Global Securities highlighted several key observations from Shoe Carnival's performance. The first quarter began sluggishly but saw improvement as it progressed. Notably, March demonstrated robust early sales, attributed to favorable weather conditions and increased demand for sandals, marking the change of seasons as a significant shopping period.

Surprisingly, the company's sandal sales continued to accelerate into April, despite less favorable weather, indicating that factors beyond climate contributed to strong sales.

A significant driver of this performance was identified as Shoe Carnival's digital-first marketing campaign. The company has cautiously revised its marketing strategy, which appears to be positively influencing consumer behavior, even during periods not typically associated with heightened shopping activity.

The positive end to the first quarter and continued momentum into the early second quarter, particularly in early May—a time not associated with specific shopping events—suggests a promising trend for the company.

In light of these developments, Seaport Global Securities remains cautiously optimistic. While the firm's projections for the fiscal year remain conservative, aligning with Shoe Carnival's own cautious stance regarding non-event shopping periods, recent trends hint at potential for better-than-expected performance as the company approaches the back-to-school season, which is traditionally a significant sales event for Shoe Carnival.

InvestingPro Insights

In support of Seaport Global Securities' optimistic outlook, InvestingPro data reflects a strong financial position for Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ:SCVL). The company's market capitalization stands at $985.58 million, with a healthy P/E ratio of 12.69, which slightly increases to 13.33 when looking at the last twelve months as of Q4 2024. This valuation is supported by a robust gross profit margin of 35.84% over the same period. Shoe Carnival's commitment to shareholder returns is evident with a dividend yield of 1.49% and a notable dividend growth of 50.0% in the last twelve months as of Q4 2024. Additionally, the company's stock has been performing well, trading close to its 52-week high at 97.87% of the peak price.

Two InvestingPro Tips particularly stand out in the context of the article. Firstly, Shoe Carnival has a track record of raising its dividend for 10 consecutive years, emphasizing its financial stability and commitment to shareholders. Secondly, the company operates with a moderate level of debt, which allows for flexibility and resilience in its financial strategy. With these factors in mind, investors looking for further insights can find additional tips on InvestingPro, including an in-depth analysis of Shoe Carnival's financial health and future prospects. For those interested, using the coupon code PRONEWS24 can secure an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, providing access to a wealth of investment knowledge and data.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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