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Tractor Supply stock target steady with hold rating despite Q3 concerns

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 2024-10-25, 11:30 a/m
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On Friday, TD (TSX:TD) Cowen maintained its Hold rating on shares of Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) with a steady price target of $285.00. The firm's stance comes after Tractor Supply's third-quarter performance, which showed weaker-than-anticipated top-line results. The company's stock felt pressure due to prolonged deflationary trends that were not expected to persist.

The analyst acknowledged that while the third quarter revealed some challenges, there were also positive aspects to consider. Notably, Tractor Supply experienced robust growth in its Big Ticket comparable sales and demonstrated strong margin execution. These factors provided some balance to the concerns raised by the softer top-line figures.

Despite the mixed third-quarter outcomes, TD Cowen is looking forward to Tractor Supply's Consumer Unit Expansion (CUE) turning positive. This metric is important as it indicates the growth in the number of items sold to consumers, which is a key driver of revenue for the company.

Moreover, the recent mergers and acquisitions activity by Tractor Supply was highlighted as an unexpected move but one that could potentially enhance the company's business model. The acquisitions are seen as a way for Tractor Supply to broaden its operational scope and add new dimensions to its existing business strategy.

Investors and analysts are now anticipating Tractor Supply's upcoming Analyst Day with heightened interest. This event is expected to provide further insights into the company's strategic plans, including its approach to mergers and acquisitions and how it aims to counteract the current deflationary pressures.

In other recent news, Tractor Supply Company has shown resilience in its financial performance, with a slight increase in net sales and a diluted EPS of $2.24 in its Q3 2024 Earnings Call. Despite facing economic challenges and natural disasters, the company demonstrated growth due to strategic initiatives and successful customer engagement.

UBS has adjusted its price target for Tractor Supply, increasing it to $280, while maintaining a neutral rating on the stock. Barclays (LON:BARC) has also raised its price target for the company to $250, maintaining an equal weight rating.

The acquisition of online pet pharmacy Allivet was announced, which is expected to positively impact the company's 2025 earnings. Tractor Supply also raised its fiscal 2024 sales and earnings guidance, projecting net sales between $14.85 billion and $15 billion, and a diluted EPS between $10.10 and $10.40. However, the company experienced a slight dip in comparable-store sales by 0.2%.

Despite this, the company's Neighbor's Club membership has grown to over 37 million members, and there are plans to open 90 new stores in 2025. These developments represent recent happenings in the company's operations.

InvestingPro Insights

Tractor Supply Company's recent performance and future outlook can be further illuminated by data from InvestingPro. Despite the challenges noted in the article, the company maintains a solid financial foundation. With a market capitalization of $29.59 billion, Tractor Supply remains a significant player in its sector.

InvestingPro data reveals that Tractor Supply's P/E ratio stands at 28.43, suggesting investors are willing to pay a premium for the company's earnings. This could indicate market confidence in the company's long-term prospects, even in the face of short-term headwinds.

Two particularly relevant InvestingPro Tips highlight Tractor Supply's financial stability and shareholder-friendly policies. Firstly, the company "has raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years," demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders even during challenging periods.

Secondly, "cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments," indicating a healthy financial position that could support the company's expansion plans and M&A activities mentioned in the article.

These insights align with the article's discussion of Tractor Supply's potential for growth and its ability to navigate current market conditions. For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 9 additional tips that could provide further context to Tractor Supply's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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