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UBS maintains buy on Restaurant Brands, keeps $90 target

Published 2024-06-26, 03:24 p/m
QSR
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On Wednesday, UBS maintained a Buy rating on shares of Restaurant Brands (TSX:QSP_u) International (NYSE:QSR), with a steady price target of $90.00. The firm's outlook for the company is rooted in the belief that Burger King US is on a solid path with its strategic initiatives, which are expected to drive growth in the coming years. The company's long-term prospects are seen as improving, supported by operational enhancements, digital advancements, menu upgrades, value offerings, restaurant remodels, and stronger franchisee cash flow.

Despite a slowdown in recent sales, mirroring trends in the broader quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry, UBS anticipates that a new value meal, premium menu items, and effective marketing strategies will contribute to a stronger performance in the second half of the year, particularly as these efforts will be compared against a backdrop of easier comparisons from the previous year.

Discussions with franchisees have revealed a growing confidence in the company's strategic plans and the outlook for profitability. Additionally, findings from the UBS Evidence Lab's 2024 QSR Survey indicate that brand perceptions of Burger King are improving relative to the category, with positive visit intentions projected over the next 12 months.

The investment firm also highlighted the attractiveness of Restaurant Brands International's stock, which is currently trading at approximately 18 times the estimated 2025 earnings per share. This valuation is seen as appealing given the potential for further progress at Burger King US and the ongoing momentum at Tim Hortons, which accounts for roughly 40% of RBI's EBITDA, along with expectations for accelerating unit growth.

In other recent news, Restaurant Brands International's earnings and revenue results reveal an optimistic outlook. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) initiated coverage on Restaurant Brands with a Buy rating, citing a significant business transformation. The firm's earnings projections for the company align with the Factset consensus, estimating $3.83 earnings per share (EPS) and $3.1 billion in EBITDA for the year 2025.

In the realm of mergers, Restaurant Brands has finalized its acquisition of Carrols Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:TAST), the largest Burger King franchisee in the U.S., for approximately $1 billion. This move is part of the company's "Reclaim the Flame" plan, which includes a $500 million investment to reimagine over 600 Carrols restaurants.

Analysts have given positive feedback on the company's performance. TD (TSX:TD) Cowen reaffirmed its Buy rating, emphasizing Burger King's strategic approach. Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) increased its price target from $87.00 to $90.00, following strong Q1 sales. KeyBanc Capital Markets also increased its price target to $85, maintaining an Overweight rating.

InvestingPro Insights

Restaurant Brands International (NYSE:QSR) continues to demonstrate financial resilience and growth potential, as reflected in recent InvestingPro data. With a market capitalization of $31.19 billion, the company maintains a healthy P/E ratio of 17.64, slightly adjusted to 17.15 for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. This aligns with UBS's positive outlook on the company's strategic initiatives and growth prospects. Additionally, a PEG ratio of 0.96 suggests that the stock may be reasonably priced relative to its earnings growth.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that Restaurant Brands International has a track record of rewarding shareholders, having raised its dividend for 9 consecutive years and maintained dividend payments for 10 consecutive years. With a dividend yield of 3.34% as of mid-2024, the company stands out as a potential income-generating investment. Moreover, analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, supported by a solid operating income margin of 31.24%.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips, visit https://www.investing.com/pro/QSR. There are 5 more tips available to help you make an informed decision on Restaurant Brands International. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, enriching your investment strategy with premium insights.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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