Stock Story -
Breakfast restaurant chain First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) reported results in line with analysts' expectations in Q2 CY2024, with revenue up 19.5% year on year to $258.6 million. It made a GAAP profit of $0.14 per share, improving from its profit of $0.13 per share in the same quarter last year.
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First Watch (FWRG) Q2 CY2024 Highlights:
- Revenue: $258.6 million vs analyst estimates of $257.6 million (small beat)
- EPS: $0.14 vs analyst estimates of $0.12 (13.2% beat)
- Lowered Full-Year Same-Store Sales Guidance from +1% growth to -1% decline
- Gross Margin (GAAP): 23.5%, up from 22.8% in the same quarter last year
- Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 13.7%, up from 11.9% in the same quarter last year
- Locations: 538 at quarter end, up from 492 in the same quarter last year
- Same-Store Sales were flat year on year (7.8% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $862.1 million
Based on a nautical reference to the first work shift aboard a ship, First Watch (NASDAQ:FWRG) is a chain of breakfast and brunch restaurants whose menu is heavily-focused on eggs and griddle items such as pancakes.
Sit-Down DiningSit-down restaurants offer a complete dining experience with table service. These establishments span various cuisines and are renowned for their warm hospitality and welcoming ambiance, making them perfect for family gatherings, special occasions, or simply unwinding. Their extensive menus range from appetizers to indulgent desserts and wines and cocktails. This space is extremely fragmented and competition includes everything from publicly-traded companies owning multiple chains to single-location mom-and-pop restaurants.
Sales GrowthFirst Watch is a mid-sized restaurant chain, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefiting from better brand awareness and economies of scale. On the other hand, First Watch can still achieve high growth rates because its revenue base is not yet monstrous.
As you can see below, the company's annualized revenue growth rate of 18.7% over the last five years was excellent as it added more dining locations and increased sales at existing, established restaurants.
This quarter, First Watch's year-on-year revenue growth clocked in at 19.5%, and its $258.6 million in revenue was in line with Wall Street's estimates. Looking ahead, Wall Street expects sales to grow 16.2% over the next 12 months, a deceleration from this quarter.
Same-Store SalesFirst Watch's demand within its existing restaurants has generally risen over the last two years but lagged behind the broader sector. On average, the company's same-store sales have grown by 6.4% year on year. With positive same-store sales growth amid an increasing number of restaurants, First Watch is reaching more diners and growing sales.
In the latest quarter, First Watch's year on year same-store sales were flat. By the company's standards, this growth was a meaningful deceleration from the 7.8% year-on-year increase it posted 12 months ago. We'll be watching First Watch closely to see if it can reaccelerate growth.
Key Takeaways from First Watch's Q2 Results It was good to see First Watch beat analysts' revenue and EPS expectations this quarter. On the other hand, it downgraded its full-year same-store sales guidance, citing a challenging consumer environment. Overall, we think this was a mixed quarter. The stock traded down 8.9% to $13 immediately following the results.
