Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

GLOBAL MARKETS-World stocks sideswiped by Wall Street, US yield curve double whammy

Published 2018-12-05, 04:58 a/m
Updated 2018-12-05, 05:00 a/m
GLOBAL MARKETS-World stocks sideswiped by Wall Street, US yield curve double whammy

* MSCI all-country index down 0.3 pct; Europe falls 1 pct

* Flattening US yield curve stokes recession concerns

* German 10-year yields at six-month low; curve also flattens

* Sterling volatile as Brexit debates continue

* Oil falls as trade woes stoke demand concerns

*

(Updates throughout)

By Sujata Rao

LONDON, Dec 5 (Reuters) - World stocks tumbled to one-week lows on Wednesday, as declines by long-dated U.S. bond yields and a renewal of trade concerns stoked fears of a downturn in the world's biggest economy, the United States.

U.S. markets are shut to mark former President George H.W. Bush's death, but the effect of Wall Street's turmoil in the previous session, when New York-listed shares tumbled more than 3 percent, is being felt in Asia and Europe.

That pushed MSCI's all-country index down almost half a percent. .MIWD00000PUS

The declines came just a day after an equity surge driven by optimism that China and the United States would sort out their trade dispute. Then President Donald Trump threatened "major tariffs" on Chinese imports if his administration failed to reach an effective trade deal with Beijing. I look into next year, most expectations for further gains have been pared back. Investors have gone from extended bullishness at the start of the year on equities to an uncomfortable neutrality," said Paul O'Connor, head of multi-asset at Janus Henderson.

Trump's comments, alongside the drop in U.S. stocks and bond yields, took Asian shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS 1.5 percent lower. Shanghai markets .SSEC fell 0.6 percent, their losses limited by Chinese officials expressing confidence that a trade deal would be clinched on time. markets opened lower, with a pan-European index .STOXX down 1.2 percent. Losses were led by a 1.6 percent decline in bank shares, which are being pummelled by the latest declines in long-dated government bond yields. .SX7P

The moves follow similar declines in U.S. bank shares .SPSY , which dropped 4.4 percent on Tuesday .N .

Global equities have been shaken by fears of a recession, fanned by the flattening U.S. Treasury yield curve -- a phenomenon in which longer-dated debt yields fall faster than their shorter-dated counterparts.

Such an inversion of two-year and 10-year yields, when 10-year bonds yield less than their two-year debt, has preceded every U.S. recession in the past 50 years.

"The market decline in the U.S. overnight and the flattening of the yield curve reflect that economic growth momentum is taking over as the primary concern for investors," Tai Hui, a strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management told clients.

So far, 10-year yields are clinging to an 11-basis-point margin over the two-year, although it was the smallest one in over a decade US2US10=RR .

The flattening of the curve gained momentum after last week's signal by the Federal Reserve that it may be nearing an end to its three-year rate-increase cycle. It has spread to the euro zone, where the German 2-10 yield curve is at its flattest since mid-2017 at 85.70 basis points.

German 10-year yields slipped to six-month lows of 0.247 percent DE10YT=RR

"There has been a huge flight to safety in the European bond market ... (European) equities closed on Tuesday only modestly lower while there were sharp falls in the U.S.," Martin van Vliet, senior rates strategist at ING, said. "The European bond market was already preparing for trouble ahead."

Markets are also bracing for more news on the Brexit front. British Prime Minister Theresa May suffered embarrassing defeats one Tuesday, the start of five days of parliamentary debate over her plans to leave the European Union. pound touched 17-month lows of $1.2659 GBP=D3 on Tuesday, then recovered to trade around $1.2734 on Wednesday, flat for the day.

The dollar has been undermined by the bond market moves and recession fears, but it has recovered from two-week lows against a basket of currencies .DXY to trade around 97, also flat on the day.

It rose 0.2 percent to 113 yen JPY= after losing 0.75 percent the previous day against the safe-haven Japanese currency.

The threat of slowing economic activity also weighed on oil prices. Brent futures LCOc1 shed more than one percent to $61.4 per barrel.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ US Treasury yield curve

https://tmsnrt.rs/2RAJIgP

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.