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nCino, Inc. shares fall as guidance disappoints

Published 2023-11-30, 08:12 a/m
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NCNO
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nCino, Inc. (NCNO) shares are down more than 6% premarket Thursday after the company's guidance disappointed. It did, however, report quarterly earnings that topped consensus expectations.

The financial technology company reported Q3 EPS of $0.14, $0.03 better than the analyst estimate of $0.11. Revenue for the quarter came in at $121.9 million, up 16% YoY and above the consensus estimate of $120.63 million.

The company revealed that subscription revenues for the quarter were $104.8 million, up from $88.3 million one year ago, representing an increase of 19%. NCNO's U.S. mortgage business achieved double-digit revenue growth.

"We posted another solid quarter in Q3, with revenues and profitability again exceeding expectations," said Pierre Naudé, Chairman and CEO of nCino.

He noted that during the period, NCNO added "key new customers," such as its first enterprise consumer ending deal with a $200 billion bank in the U.S. and its largest customer to date in Japan.

Looking ahead, NCNO sees Q4 revenue between $$123.5 million and $125.5 million, with adjusted earnings per share between $0.11 to $0.13. For

Reacting to the report, BofA analysts reiterated a Buy rating on the stock but lowered the price target to $34 from $35 per share.

They said: "nCino reported solid Q3 from a P&L perspective, though guided to Q4 revenue below the Street estimates, primarily reflecting 1) incremental churn from IMBs, 2) the earlier-than-expected loss of a large bank customer post the liquidity crisis earlier this year, and 3) continued caution from US large banks."

However, while they noted that while the macro and evolving interest rate environment continues to create volatility in the near term, given nCino's financial services exposure, they "think nCino remains well positioned to take share of the banking software market."

KeyBanc Capital analysts maintained a Sector Weight rating on the stock following the earnings release.

"Sales commentary was a touch worse than we expected with management citing 'a few' deals pushed out and F3Q sales bookings lower than that of F2Q (noted to be roughly in line with internal expectations, however)," wrote the analysts.

"We take our FY24 estimates up slightly, reflecting both F3Q outperformance and stronger than expected revenue churn headwinds (offset). Our FY25 revenue estimate moves lower (primarily subscription revenue), and operating income moves higher (lower opex)," they added.

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