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Valeant slump poses big threat to small hedge funds

Published 2015-10-22, 07:46 p/m
© Reuters.  Valeant slump poses big threat to small hedge funds
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By Svea Herbst-Bayliss and Lawrence Delevingne
BOSTON/NEW YORK, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Valeant Pharmaceuticals (N:VRX)'
market slide has hurt the returns of several large U.S. hedge
funds, but for smaller players with outsized bets on the drug
company the fallout could be far more painful, according to
industry watchers.
Among smaller hedge funds invested in Valeant, at least
three had more than 20 percent of their assets tied up in the
stock as of June 30, according to data from Symmetric.IO, a
research firm that provided the data to Reuters on Thursday.
They include Tiger Ratan Capital Management, Marble Arch
Investments, and Brave Warrior Advisors, according to the
numbers, which are based on publicly reported stock positions
and may not include hedges.
It is not known whether the funds have maintained their
holdings into this week, but if they did, they could be looking
at losses worth hundreds of millions of dollars.
"The major risk is with funds that have an unstable, short-
term oriented capital base, where a poor few months of
performance can lead to significant capital flight," said
Jonathan Liggett, Managing Member at JL Squared Group, an
investment advisor. Smaller hedge funds can quickly collapse if
investors demand their money back all at once, forcing managers
to exit profitable positions to raise cash quickly.
Valeant shares VRX.N are down 35 percent this week after a
short-seller's report accused the company of improperly
inflating revenues, igniting fears about federal prosecutors'
probes into its pricing and distribution.
Valeant has denied the allegations and its Chief Executive
Michael Pearson (L:PSON) and other board members are due to address them
in more detail in a call with investors on Monday.
The slump has trimmed billions of dollars off the ledgers of
investors such as hedge fund mogul William Ackman's Pershing
Square Capital Management, activist hedge fund ValueAct Capital,
and investment firm Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb.

BETS ON EARLY WINNER
But the impact could be far worse at smaller funds that
typically have less than $5 billion in assets and also bet on a
stock that had been one of this year's early winners.
Nehal Chopra's Tiger Ratan owned roughly 1 million shares of
Valeant at the end of the second quarter, accounting for about
one fifth of her $1.6 billion fund, according to public
disclosures. She has owned Valeant for 2-1/2 years.
Through August, Chopra had been one of the year's best
performers, showing a gain of 21.6 percent for the year. But
people familiar with her numbers said heavy losses in September
wiped out all gains putting the fund into the red for the year.
If the firm still held that Valeant position this week its
losses on that bet alone would have totaled roughly $370 million
for the week. Tiger Ratan declined to comment.
Valeant shares, which hit a record high of $263.81 on Aug 6,
closed at $109.87 on Thursday.
Other big investors in Valeant at the end of the second
quarter included Marble Arch, which oversees roughly $2.3
billion and owned 1.07 million shares, making up 20 percent of
its book, data from Symmetric.IO show.
At Glenn Greenberg's Brave Warrior Advisors, Valeant made up
36.5 percent of the roughly $3.3 billion fund. Incline Global
Management, a $422 million fund, owned 91,368 shares on June 30,
translating into a 5.61 percent position, according to the data.
None of the firms responded to requests for comment.
Some other firms including Barry Rosenstein's $11 billion
Jana Partners and Jeremy Green's Redmile Group, for example,
sold Valeant in recent weeks, helping them sidestep this week's
selloff, people familiar with their investments said.
Jana's flagship fund trimmed some of its losses for the year
with a 2.2 percent gain in early October, leaving the fund down
4.5 percent for the year through October 16.
Locust Wood told clients in a letter, seen by Reuters, that
the firm exited Valeant last month. "We took advantage of the
downturn in September to move our Valeant holding into
Allergan," the letter said. Last year Botox maker Allergan Inc (N:AGN_pa)
rejected a hostile takeover bid from Valeant. The letter said
that its bet on Valeant netted the firm a 23 percent gain
overall.
Some investors said some funds, such as Tiger Ratan, which
performed well in recent years, might count on investors
forgiving an off year. But smaller funds that showed less
dramatic gains might be in a tougher spot.
For much of the year, Valeant's quick paced acquisitions
helped boost its stock price and made it a favorite with hedge
funds which owned roughly 22 percent of the company's stock at
the end of the second quarter, data from Goldman Sachs (N:GS) show.

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