Thor Industries (NYSE:THO) reported Q3 EPS of $6.32, $1.60 better than the analyst estimate of $4.72. Revenue for the quarter came in at $4.66 billion versus the consensus estimate of $4.18 billion.
Outlook
“The RV industry’s calendar 2022 retail selling season has been impacted by the current macroeconomic conditions faced by consumers, and while North American industry retail towable demand is anticipated to be lower than the historically high levels of recent quarters, it remains robust as enthusiasm for the RV lifestyle continues to grow. Motorized industry retail demand continues to outpace the industry’s ability to produce given the limitations on chassis supply. Industry retail registrations in the first calendar quarter of 2022, while below the record levels of 2021, exceeded both 2020 and 2019 registrations in both North America and Germany. We believe retail demand for the remainder of our Fiscal Year 2022 and the beginning of Fiscal 2023 will be strong, barring additional macroeconomic impacts, and we expect calendar year 2022 North American RV industry retail sales of between 460,000 and 480,000 units, which would represent one of the best years of North American RV retail sales on record,” continued Woelfer.
“Based on the recent moderation of North American retail demand, the RV Industry Association (‘RVIA’) recently reduced its North American wholesale forecast for calendar year 2022 shipments to be between 537,800 and 561,900 units with a most likely total of 549,900 units. We agree with the revised lower end of the wholesale RVIA’s forecast, and we believe it is in alignment with our forecasted RV industry retail sales as a number of the wholesale units shipped so far this year were used to restock dealer towable inventories to more normalized levels. Looking ahead to the second half of the calendar year, we expect RV Industry wholesale shipments and retail RV sales to be closer to one-to-one parity, as we work to manage wholesale production to align with retail demand.
“As the world’s leading RV manufacturer, we recognize the importance of maintaining production discipline as we strive to fulfill dealer orders that are in balance with retail sales forecasts. Our production discipline is greatly valued among our dealer partners as we work to protect the long-term interests of our customers and the industry,” concluded Woelfer.
“As always, we remain focused on driving growth, profitability and long-term value for all of our stakeholders. We are currently implementing many strategic and innovative initiatives to expand our industry leadership position in fiscal year 2023 and beyond. We look forward to sharing our long-term vision, priorities and financial targets with you at our Investor Day in late June,” added Martin.