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Oil Stays in the Red as Supply Worries Offset Risks

Published 2020-01-10, 01:30 p/m
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Investing.com – The U.S.-Iran conflict may be far from over, but worries that there's too much oil in the market are offsetting any supply risks for now.

West Texas Intermediate, the benchmark for U.S. crude, was down 33 cents, or 0.6%, at $59.23 per barrel by 1:00 PM ET (18:00 GMT), remaining under the key $60 support.

Brent, the global benchmark for crude, remained barely above the psychologically important $65 per barrel mark, trading 12 cents, or 0.2%, lower at $65.25.

Oil prices have been under pressure since Wednesday after President Donald Trump refrained from responding to Tehran’s rocket attacks on U.S.-Iraqi airbases after the U.S. killing of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani.

Prior to that stand-down, crude had been on a strong rally, with WTI hitting an April high of $65.65 and Brent surging to near four-month peaks of $71.28, on speculation about an all-out U.S.-Iran war.

Even media reports out of Beijing on Thursday confirming that China will sign the phase one trade deal with the United States next week couldn’t get oil higher.

The United States rolled out harsher sanctions on Iran on Friday, targeting the Islamic Republic’s multi-billion-dollar metals Industry, as part of the White House’s “maximum pain” campaign aimed at crippling Tehran’s possible nuclear bomb ambitions.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards commander has also vowed he would take "harsher revenge" on the United States after the raid on the airbases, which did not kill any U.S. servicemen.

While the U.S. killing of Soleimani did not directly impact oil production and shipment, crude traders had initially priced in a higher element of risk into the market on fears that Tehran would do more to avenge his death. Both Iran and Iraq are members of OPEC, which together with Saudi Arabia, account for about 40% of the world’s oil production. On Wednesday, crude tankers deliberately avoided the Strait of Hormuz around Iran to be on the safe side, traders said.

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“I can see the roll-down continuing here in the front end of WTI for the time being,” said Scott Shelton, energy futures broker at ICAP (LON:NXGN) in Durham, N.C. “On the Brent side, I think there are signs that the market could see some additional strength in spreads. Other than that, I expect the market to remain quiet.”

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