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Barclays stock target raised on improved ROE outlook

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 2024-04-26, 12:36 p/m

On Friday, CFRA, a prominent financial research firm, raised the stock price target for shares of Barclays (LON:BARC) (NYSE:BCS) to $11.00, up from the previous target of $9.00. The firm has retained its Hold rating on the stock.

This adjustment reflects a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.57 times, an increase over the five-year average P/B ratio of 0.47 times. The higher P/B ratio is considered justifiable by CFRA due to anticipated enhancements in Barclays' return on equity (ROE) profile.

Barclays reported its first-quarter pre-tax profit for 2024, which showed a year-over-year decline of 12% to £2.28 billion. Still, the results surpassed the consensus estimate compiled by the company by 4%.

The decrease in profit was attributed to several factors, including reduced revenues in Fixed Income, Currencies, and Commodities (FICC), a drop in inflation-linked income, and challenging product dynamics in the UK deposits and mortgage sectors.

Despite these headwinds, the bank's credit impairment charges were slightly down by 2%, with a loan loss rate that remained stable at 51 basis points, aligning with the guided range.

CFRA noted that Barclays' first-quarter performance could be regarded as robust and that the bank appears to be on a path to meet its targets for the year 2024. Nevertheless, CFRA cautioned that although Barclays' share price has experienced a rally over the last three months, there is a possibility of a price correction should the company's earnings fall short of expectations in the future.

The Hold rating has been maintained in light of these considerations and the stock's current valuation when compared to its historical price-to-book metrics.

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InvestingPro Insights

According to real-time data from InvestingPro, Barclays (NYSE:BCS) presents a mixed financial picture as of the first quarter of 2024. The company's Market Cap stands at a robust $38.25B, and the P/E Ratio is attractively low at 6.61 when adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024.

This could indicate that Barclays' stock is undervalued relative to its earnings, a point which may interest value investors. However, the PEG Ratio is negative at -0.74, suggesting that the company's earnings growth might not be keeping pace with its P/E ratio.

The bank's Revenue Growth has seen a slight decline of -3.61% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, with a more pronounced quarterly revenue decline of -4.07% in Q1 2024. Despite this, Barclays boasts a strong Operating Income Margin of 31.57%, indicating efficient management and potentially higher profitability. Investors should also note the attractive Dividend Yield of 5.05%, which is quite high and could appeal to income-seeking shareholders.

InvestingPro Tips highlight the significant Dividend Growth of 158.12% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, which could signal the company's commitment to returning value to its shareholders. Moreover, the 1 Year Price Total Return of 42.86% reflects a strong market performance, which may entice momentum investors.

For readers looking to delve deeper into Barclays' financial health, InvestingPro offers additional insights and tips. There are currently 15 more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed with a subscription. To enhance your investment research, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

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