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Citi trims Oiln stock target to $64, maintains Buy rating

EditorBrando Bricchi
Published 2024-04-30, 03:30 p/m
OLN
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On Tuesday, Citi adjusted its price target for Oiln (NYSE: OLN), a chemical manufacturing company, reducing it to $64 from the previous $67 while sustaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment follows insights from last week's earnings call, where Oiln's management discussed financial expectations and business strategies for the upcoming periods.

The company anticipates that its FY24 EBITDA will exceed $1.3 billion, bolstered by ongoing momentum in pricing and volume for Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls (CAPV). Oiln expects CAPV pricing to show sequential improvement in the first quarter of 2024 and to maintain positive momentum into the second half of the year. The volume recovery in CAPV is projected to be more significant than the price increase, and the company plans to regulate operating rates rather than push volume into the market to accommodate seasonal demand increases. Enhanced chlorine volumes are anticipated across various end markets, including agriculture, urethanes, titanium dioxide, and water treatment.

Furthermore, Oiln noted that the restructuring activities within its epoxy business during FY23 are likely to lead to sequential improvements in the second quarter of 2024. The company aims to optimize its operational footprint and focus on scaling its high-margin businesses.

Management also addressed potential risks within the Winchester segment, particularly concerning propellant shortages. Efforts are being made to mitigate these risks by securing additional volumes. While the Winchester segment's performance is expected to remain flat sequentially, it is projected to improve in the latter half of 2024, driven by strong international military demand.

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InvestingPro Insights

Following Citi's price target adjustment for Olin Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:OLN), current InvestingPro data reveals a market capitalization of $6.24 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.25, with a slight decrease to 17.63 for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024. This suggests that the company is trading at a relatively moderate valuation in the context of its earnings. Additionally, Olin's strong free cash flow yield is highlighted by an InvestingPro Tip, which could indicate a robust financial health and the potential for future investments or shareholder returns.

Two InvestingPro Tips particularly stand out: Olin's management has been actively engaged in share buybacks, and the company has sustained dividend payments for an impressive 51 consecutive years. These actions reflect a commitment to returning value to shareholders and a confidence in the company's long-term profitability, which is also supported by analysts' predictions that Olin will remain profitable this year.

Despite a revenue decline of 24.38% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, the company has experienced a significant price uptick of 26.37% over the last six months. This could suggest that investors are optimistic about Olin's future growth prospects and its ability to navigate current market challenges. For those interested in further insights and tips, including the latest analyst revisions and stock volatility analysis, InvestingPro offers additional information for Olin, accessible at: https://www.investing.com/pro/OLN. To access a comprehensive set of InvestingPro Tips and to take advantage of the platform's features, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 for an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

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