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TD Cowen expects 4Q sales miss for Lamb Weston, reiterates $105.00 shares PT

Published 2024-07-09, 11:02 a/m
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On Tuesday, TD (TSX:TD) Cowen maintained its Buy rating on shares of Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW), with a price target unchanged at $105.00. The firm's stance comes amid observations that foot traffic at the company's key national burger and chicken chain customers has declined since the reporting of third-quarter results in early April. This trend suggests a possible fourth-quarter sales shortfall for the food processing company.

TD Cowen's analysis indicates that the decrease in customer visits could signal upcoming challenges for Lamb Weston. The firm's recent channel checks have led to expectations that Lamb Weston's fourth-quarter sales may not meet previous forecasts. Consequently, this anticipated underperformance could prompt the company's management to adopt a more cautious outlook for the fiscal year 2025.

Despite the concerns raised, TD Cowen has not altered its investment rating or price expectations for Lamb Weston. The firm continues to recommend a Buy position, signaling confidence in the company's long-term prospects despite the short-term hurdles it may face. The $105.00 price target remains a reflection of the firm's valuation of the stock.

In other recent news, Lamb Weston Holdings (NYSE:LW), Inc. has been the focus of analysts' projections and market performance reviews.

The company's earnings and revenue have been affected by a downward revision of around 5% in EBITDA estimates for FY25, primarily due to slowing restaurant traffic and customer losses related to the implementation of an Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system. Despite these challenges, analysts have put forth EPS forecasts of 5.48 for FY1 and 6.54 for FY2, indicating expectations of solid earnings growth.

The firm has also been dealing with operational setbacks from the ERP transition, but the successful completion of this process is expected to enhance Lamb Weston's operational efficiency. Analysts from Barclays (LON:BARC) Capital Inc. have consistently given the company an "Overweight" rating, suggesting confidence in its potential to outperform the broader market.

These developments indicate a mix of opportunities and challenges for Lamb Weston. Although slowing restaurant traffic and ERP-related customer losses present hurdles, the company's strong market position and the potential for positive volume growth in upcoming fiscal quarters provide a favorable outlook.

As Lamb Weston navigates these recent developments, investors and market watchers will be keeping a close eye on the company's performance.

InvestingPro Insights

As Lamb Weston (NYSE:LW) navigates a challenging period marked by a potential sales shortfall, InvestingPro data and tips offer a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and prospects. With a market capitalization of $11.62 billion and a P/E ratio standing at 10.64, Lamb Weston presents an interesting case for investors. The company's revenue growth has been robust over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, with an impressive increase of 36.22%, showcasing its ability to expand its financial top line amidst market challenges.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Lamb Weston has succeeded in raising its dividend for seven consecutive years, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns even as it anticipates sales growth in the current year. Moreover, the company's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, indicating a strong liquidity position that can support operations and investments. For investors considering a deeper dive into Lamb Weston's financials and future outlook, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed by using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

While TD Cowen maintains a Buy rating with a $105.00 price target, the InvestingPro Fair Value estimate stands at $90.4, offering a grounded perspective for potential investors. Lamb Weston's ability to remain profitable over the last twelve months, coupled with a low earnings multiple, positions it as a potentially undervalued opportunity in the eyes of some analysts. The company's next earnings date is set for July 24, 2024, which will be a key event for investors to gain updated insights into its performance and strategic direction.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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