Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

UPDATE 1-Bank of Canada holds rates, 'too early' to say growth sustainable

Published 2017-04-12, 10:17 a/m
Updated 2017-04-12, 10:20 a/m
© Reuters.  UPDATE 1-Bank of Canada holds rates, 'too early' to say growth sustainable

(Adds detail, comment from report)

OTTAWA, April 12 (Reuters) - The Bank of Canada held interest rates steady on Wednesday, as expected, saying that while growth has been stronger than it anticipated in January it is "too early" to conclude that the economy is on a sustainable growth path.

Reiterating its position that material excess capacity remains in the economy, the central bank nudged up its growth forecast for 2017 but lowered its projection for potential growth to reflect "persistently weak investment."

Taken together, the faster growth in 2017 and lower potential growth means the bank now projects the output gap to close in the first half of 2018, sooner than the mid-2018 timeline policymakers had predicted in January.

In a report that noted a weakness for every strength, the bank said business investment remains well below what could be expected at this stage in the recovery and wage growth remains subdued, while residential investment has been stronger than expected.

"The Bank's Governing Council acknowledges the strength of recent data, some of which is temporary, and is mindful of the significant uncertainties weighing on the outlook," the bank said in a statement accompanying its quarterly Monetary Policy Report.

Noting the red-hot Toronto housing market, which some economists have called a bubble, the bank said price growth in the area "seems to have entered a phase in which speculation is playing a larger role."

The bank has held rates steady since cutting twice in 2015, and the prolonged period of low interest rates has been blamed for helping inflate the housing market, particularly in Toronto, the nation's largest city.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The bank said housing activity has risen at a pace that "is unlikely to be sustained given the economic fundamentals" and listed rising household spending and debt as a key risk to its outlook. The debt-to-income ratio has risen to record highs as homebuyers take huge mortgages to get into the market.

The bank bumped up its forecast for average annual real gross domestic product growth to 2.6 percent in 2017, up from 2.1 percent forecast in January, but lowered the forecast for 2018 to 1.9 percent from 2.1 percent forecast three months ago.

While drivers of U.S. growth remain solid and Canadian job data has been robust, gains in hours worked are still soft, the Bank noted.

It said export growth has been uneven in the face competitiveness challenges and uncertainty surrounding possible U.S. protectionism that could hurt Canadian exports.

Latest comments

When is the next meeting to determine rates? Also is there a tool such as Fedwatch to see the predictions of rate changes for Bank of Canada?
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.