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Canadian dollar falls on rate-hike uncertainty; greenback steady

Published 2019-03-06, 11:30 a/m
© Reuters.  Canadian dollar falls on rate-hike uncertainty; greenback steady
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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AUD/USD
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USD/NOK
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BAC
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DBKGn
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* Canadian dollar falls as BOC sees rate hikes more uncertain

* U.S. dollar holds near 2-week high before Fed's Beige Book

* Euro pauses near $1.13 ahead of ECB meeting

* Australian dollar falls to 2-month low on rate-cut bets

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Richard Leong

NEW YORK, March 6 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar sagged to a two-month low on Wednesday as the Bank of Canada expressed caution about the timing of future rate increases, prompted by expected economic softness in the first half of the year.

Like the Australian dollar, the Canadian currency has been under pressure on bets that their central banks might consider easing interest rates to counter further slowing in their local economies, analysts said.

"The moves are about the dovishness of their central banks and deterioration in their domestic data," said Ben Randol, senior FX strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) in New York.

The BOC said earlier on Wednesday there was "increased uncertainty" around future rate hikes as it held interest rates steady as expected. Canadian dollar fell to C$1.3457 after the release of BOC's latest policy statement, which was its lowest against its U.S. counterpart since Jan. 4. At 11:25 a.m. EST (1625 GMT), it was 0.69 percent weaker at C$1.3443.

The Aussie dollar was $0.7025, down 0.83 percent on the day after hitting $0.7021, a two-month low.

The greenback was generally firmer against most major currencies in advance of the Federal Reserve's release of its Beige Book at 2 p.m. EST (1900 GMT), which is a snapshot of regional U.S. economic conditions.

While the Federal Reserve took a dovish turn of its own in late January, the dollar has been supported by the relative wide differentials between U.S. bond yields and most developed economies, analysts said.

For example, benchmark 10-year Treasury yields were about 256 basis points higher than those on 10-year German Bunds DE10US10=TWEB .

Speculators have remained bullish on the greenback with ongoing uncertainties about Brexit and trade negotiations between China and the United States. currency market volatility has slumped in 2019 as a pause in central bank tightening and hopes for a resolution in the U.S.-China trade conflict suppress price movements. Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn)'s Currency Volatility Index is approaching record lows. .DBCVIX

Viraj Patel, global macro strategist at investment advisory firm Arkera, said realized volatility in euro/dollar was at or near record lows with traders struggling to find direction. ========================================================

Currency bid prices at 11:26AM (1626 GMT) Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

EUR=

$1.1318

$1.1306

+0.11%

-1.31%

+1.1326

+1.1288 Dollar/Yen

JPY=

111.6900

111.8900

-0.18%

+1.30%

+111.9200 +111.6700 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

126.42

126.51

-0.07%

+0.16%

+126.5400 +126.2000 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=

1.0036

1.0040

-0.04%

+2.27%

+1.0056

+1.0032 Sterling/Dollar GBP=

1.3136

1.3175

-0.30%

+2.97%

+1.3178

+1.3125 Dollar/Canadian CAD=

1.3441

1.3345

+0.72%

-1.45%

+1.3456

+1.3349 Australian/Doll AUD=

0.7025

0.7082

-0.80%

-0.34%

+0.7092

+0.7022 ar

Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

1.1360

1.1357

+0.03%

+0.94%

+1.1369

+1.1348 Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.8614

0.8580

+0.40%

-4.12%

+0.8619

+0.8578 NZ

NZD=

0.6774

0.6789

-0.22%

+0.85%

+0.6801

+0.6754 Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway

NOK=

8.6650

8.6608

+0.05%

+0.30%

+8.6957

+8.6557 Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

9.8062

9.7981

+0.08%

-1.01%

+9.8275

+9.7927 Dollar/Sweden

SEK=

9.2906

9.3078

-0.10%

+3.65%

+9.3379

+9.2803 Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

10.5160

10.5261

-0.10%

+2.46%

+10.5537

+10.4950

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Aussie dollar hits two-month low

https://tmsnrt.rs/2EPQjzO FX volatility tumbles

https://tmsnrt.rs/2UkWOQs

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

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