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Canadian dollar hits 4-month low as Bank of Canada rate cut bets climb

Published 2019-04-24, 11:02 a/m
© Reuters.  Canadian dollar hits 4-month low as Bank of Canada rate cut bets climb
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* Canadian dollar falls 0.6% against the greenback

* Loonie touches its weakest since Jan. 3 at 1.3522

* Price of U.S. oil falls 0.4%

* Canada-U.S. 10-year spread posts widest in nearly one month

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, April 24 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday to its lowest in nearly four months, as investors raised bets on a Bank of Canada interest rate cut this year after the central bank slashed its economic growth outlook.

Canada's central bank held its benchmark interest rates steady at 1.75% as expected but removed wording about the need for future rate hikes and lowered its growth forecast for 2019 to 1.2% from 1.7%. brought more of the weakness on board than we expected them to." said Andrew Kelvin, senior rates strategist at TD Securities.

The Bank of Canada has raised rates by 125 basis points since July 2017. But the Canadian economy has taken a hit from the province of Alberta's mandatory production cut of oil - its biggest export - a slowdown in the housing market and wilting business sentiment over worries surrounding the U.S.-China trade war.

Chances of an interest rate cut by December rose to nearly 70% from 57% before the policy announcement, data from the overnight index swaps market showed. BOCWATCH

Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz and Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins are due to hold a press conference at 11:15 ET (1515 GMT).

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar .DXY rose to a 22-month high as souring confidence measures in the euro zone weighed on the euro. 10:36 a.m. (1436 GMT), the Canadian dollar CAD=D4 was trading 0.6% lower at 1.3499 to the greenback, or 74.08 U.S. cents. The currency touched its weakest intraday level since Jan. 3 at 1.3522.

The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, pulled back from a six-month high as data showing rising U.S. stocks countered fears of tight supply resulting from OPEC output cuts and U.S. sanctions on Venezuela and Iran. crude CLc1 prices were down 0.4% at $66.06 a barrel .

Canadian government bond prices were higher across the yield curve, with the two-year CA2YT=RR up 12.5 Canadian cents to yield 1.506%, its lowest since March 29, and the 10-year CA10YT=RR rising 78 Canadian cents to yield 1.668%.

The 10-year yield fell 3.4 basis points further below the yield on the equivalent U.S. bond to a spread of -85.4 basis points, its widest since March 25.

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