🧐 ProPicks AI October update is out now! See which stocks made the listPick Stocks with AI

Canadian dollar weakens as investors bet on Bank of Canada matching Fed rate cut

Published 2020-03-03, 03:32 p/m
Canadian dollar weakens as investors bet on Bank of Canada matching Fed rate cut
USD/CAD
-
CL
-
CA10YT=RR
-

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar fell against the greenback on Tuesday, giving up much of the prior day's rally, as the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in an emergency move that investors see the Bank of Canada matching at a policy decision on Wednesday.

At 2:50 p.m. (1950 GMT), the Canadian dollar was trading 0.4% lower at 1.3371 to the greenback, or 74.79 U.S. cents. The currency, which on Friday hit its weakest intraday level in nearly nine months at 1.3465, traded in a range of 1.3319 to 1.3387.

The U.S. central bank said it was cutting rates by a half percentage point to a target range of 1.00% to 1.25% as the "coronavirus poses evolving risks to economic activity."

The Bank of Canada had been expected by investors to cut its benchmark interest rate, which sits at 1.75%, by 25 basis points on Wednesday. Money markets quickly shifted gear to price in a 50 basis points move.

It would be the first 50 basis points cut by the central bank since March 2009.

"Twenty-five basis points may prompt loonie strength and derail the stimulus of the cut itself, while 50 basis points could stoke a housing bubble," said Simon Harvey, FX market analyst for Monex Europe and Monex Canada.

"Markets are running with the fact that the latter is a less concerning risk at the moment and are aggressively pricing a similar 50 bps from the BoC," Harvey said.

Canada is a major exporter of commodities, including oil, so a slowdown in the global economy due to the coronavirus outbreak could hurt.

The Canadian government is open to the idea of helping firms that are suffering from financial damage due to the outbreak of a novel coronavirus, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said, without providing details.

U.S. crude oil futures (CLc1) settled 0.9% higher at $47.18 a barrel but shares on Wall Street lost ground in volatile trade as investors worried that the Fed cut might not be enough to shield the world's largest economy from the impact of the coronavirus epidemic.

Canadian government bond yields tumbled across a steeper yield curve in sympathy with U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year yield (CA10YT=RR) was down 14.9 basis points at 0.953%, its lowest level since October 2016.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.