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Baird lowers CarMax shares target amid affordability challenges

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 2024-04-12, 07:16 a/m

On Friday, Baird made an adjustment to the price target for CarMax (NYSE:KMX) shares, reducing it to $84 from $88, while sustaining an Outperform rating. The firm's analyst pointed to ongoing affordability challenges impacting CarMax's performance. The used car retailer's recent results have not met expectations as buyers sensitive to payment costs are holding out for a more affordable market.

CarMax's strategic investments in its omnichannel approach are designed with a market recovery in sight. However, current sales volumes remain 8% lower than the levels seen before the market shutdown, causing profits to lag behind their potential. Despite a gradual move towards more affordable pricing, the monthly payment amounts are still prohibitive for customers who are sensitive to interest rates.

The analyst emphasized that while the big picture shows CarMax expanding its scale across various critical aspects of the used car retail experience—including retail, wholesale, sourcing, inventory, merchandising, reconditioning, financing, and logistics—the issue of affordability remains a significant concern for the company.

CarMax has been focusing on building its presence in key areas of the used car market. This comprehensive strategy encompasses a range of services that are essential to the retail experience. The company's efforts are part of a long-term plan to position itself strongly within the industry.

In summary, although CarMax is progressing towards establishing a more extensive network within the used car retail sector, the current economic environment poses challenges for rate-sensitive buyers, affecting the company's near-term profitability.

InvestingPro Insights

CarMax's journey through a challenging economic landscape is reflected in its real-time financial metrics and analysts' perspectives. According to InvestingPro data, CarMax has a market capitalization of approximately $11.34 billion and is trading at a P/E ratio of 26.26, which is in line with the adjusted P/E for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. Despite a notable sales decline of 14.53% over the same period, the company has managed to maintain a gross profit margin of 11.62%. This resilience is also evident in the stock's performance, with a strong return of 19.08% over the past three months.

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InvestingPro Tips highlight that CarMax is a prominent player in the Specialty Retail industry, but it operates with a significant debt burden and suffers from weak gross profit margins. Analysts have also revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period and anticipate a sales decline in the current year. However, it is worth noting that CarMax's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, suggesting a degree of financial stability.

For investors looking for deeper insights, there are additional tips available on InvestingPro, which could provide a more comprehensive understanding of CarMax's financial health and market position. Interested readers can enhance their investment strategy with these insights by using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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