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BUY ALERT: Why This 1 TSX Stock Reached at its All-Time High After Q3 Event

Published 2020-10-28, 12:27 p/m
BUY ALERT: Why This 1 TSX Stock Reached at its All-Time High After Q3 Event

TFI International (TSX:TFII) — the Montreal-based trucking and logistics company — released its third-quarter earnings report on October 22. Investors largely reacted positively to its quarterly results as its stock rose by 3.8% the next day. Let’s take a quick look at its recent stock price movement before finding out if its stock is worth buying after its latest report.

TFI International’s stock After falling by 29% in the first quarter, TFII stock rose by 55% and 15% in the second and third quarters, respectively. Interestingly, the stock posted its all-time high of $66.57 earlier this week on Monday.

While the company’s stock seems to be on a downward trajectory in the last couple of days, it’s outperforming the broader market by a wide margin on a month-to-date basis. In October, TFI International has risen by 18.6% compared to a 0.9% drop in the S&P/TSX Composite Index. Its stronger than expected third-quarter earnings and raised 2020 outlook could be two key reasons for this optimism.

Trend in financials In Q3 2020, TFI International posted earnings per share of $1.25 — with a rise of 20.2% from $1.04 in the previous quarter. It was 20.2% better than the earnings per share of $1.04 a year ago and much higher than Bay Street’s EPS expectation of $0.91.

The company reported a 12.7% sequential rise in its total revenue to $1.3 billion during the quarter, but it fell by 4.4% on a year-over-year (YoY) basis. It was the second consecutive period when its quarterly revenue fell.

Rising profits could help boost investors’ confidence TFI International’s operating income rose by nearly 18% YoY to $156 million on the positive side. Similarly, it posted adjusted EBITDA of $252.3 million — up 8.7% from the previous quarter and 13.9% higher than a year ago. As a result, its adjusted EBITDA margin stood at 20.2% in the last quarter. In Q3, TFI International’s adjusted EBITDA rose sequentially for the second consecutive quarter.

More important, TFI International’s bottom-line margin rose to 9.3% in Q3 2020 compared to just 6.1% in the third quarter of last year. Its plan to drive operating efficiencies and the government wage subsidy of $8 million positively impacted its overall profitability in the last quarter.

Outlook optimism Despite experiencing COVID-19 related headwinds in the first quarter, TFI International raised its 2020 outlook last week. Now, the company expects its full-year earnings to be at least $4 per share — higher than $3.94 in 2019 and its previous guidance range of $3.40 to $3.75 as its 2020.

Moreover, the management expects the company to achieve a minimum of $600 million of free cash flow, which is also significantly higher than its previously given expected range of $425-$460 million.

Is its stock worth buying right now? On a year-to-date basis, TFI International stock has risen by over 48% so far — outperforming the broader market as well as many of its peers. After touching its all-time high earlier this week, its stock seems to be heading downward to test a support level near $60.40. Nonetheless, the overall price trend still remains strongly positive. Medium to long-term investors may consider buying its stock on dips.

The post BUY ALERT: Why This 1 TSX Stock Reached at its All-Time High After Q3 Event appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

Fool contributor Jitendra Parashar has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead. Motley Fool Canada 2020

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