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Earnings call: Martin Midstream Partners Q1 2024 results miss guidance

Published 2024-04-18, 09:18 p/m
© Reuters.

Martin Midstream Partners L.P. (NASDAQ:MMLP) reported their first-quarter 2024 earnings, revealing an adjusted EBITDA of $30.4 million, slightly below their expected $31.6 million. Despite the miss, the transportation segment showed strength, with land and marine transportation surpassing guidance. The company maintains its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook at $116.1 million and anticipates stable future rates in their marine business. While facing a heavy turnaround year with significant maintenance costs, Martin Midstream Partners remains optimistic about their future performance, especially with upcoming projects like the ELSA plan.

Key Takeaways

  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2024 was $30.4 million, missing the $31.6 million guidance.
  • Land transportation exceeded expectations with a $9 million adjusted EBITDA.
  • Marine transportation also outperformed with $4.2 million in adjusted EBITDA.
  • The company upheld its 2024 adjusted EBITDA forecast at $116.1 million.
  • Long-term debt stood at $450 million, with a liquidity forecast of $150 million by the end of Q2 2024.
  • Capital investments of $17.4 million were made in Q1 for various growth and maintenance initiatives.
  • The marine business rates range between $11,000 and $12,000 per day, with stable rates expected.
  • Significant product sales are anticipated in the second half of 2025, particularly for the ELSA project.

Company Outlook

  • Maintained 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $116.1 million.
  • Anticipate a decrease in liquidity to $150 million by June 30, 2024, without operational impact.
  • Targeting an adjusted leverage ratio of 3.75x or lower.
  • Expectation of stable marine business rates and no significant growth in transportation services.

Bearish Highlights

  • The Terminalling and Storage segment's performance was below guidance due to repair and maintenance costs.
  • Sulfur Services and Specialty Products segments also missed guidance due to lower margins and volumes, and underperformance in packaged lubricants, respectively.
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Bullish Highlights

  • Land and marine transportation segments surpassed their guidance.
  • Small growth investment made in expanding warehouse for the fertilizer business.
  • Potential for a second chip-making factory, indicating future growth prospects.

Misses

  • Overall adjusted EBITDA missed guidance by $1.2 million.
  • Terminalling and Storage, Sulfur Services, and Specialty Products segments did not meet expectations.

Q&A Highlights

  • Significant sales from ELSA project delayed until the second half of 2025.
  • Expect to receive reservation fees from the oleum tower and ELSA project by October 2024 at the latest.
  • Heavy maintenance year with expected expenses between $24.5 million and $26.5 million by end of Q2 2024.
  • Optimism expressed about the company's future performance despite current challenges.

InvestingPro Insights

Martin Midstream Partners L.P. (MMLP) has demonstrated a notable financial resilience according to recent InvestingPro data. With a market capitalization of $103.74 million, the company's adjusted P/E ratio stands at an attractive 1.97, indicating the stock could be undervalued relative to its near-term earnings growth potential. This aligns with an InvestingPro Tip highlighting that MMLP is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, which could attract value-oriented investors.

The company has also shown a commitment to returning value to shareholders, maintaining dividend payments for 22 consecutive years, a testament to its financial stability and reliability, which is particularly important for income-focused investors.

Performance-wise, MMLP has seen a strong return over the last three months, with a 17.98% price total return, reflecting a positive market sentiment. This is further supported by analysts' predictions that the company will be profitable this year, a crucial consideration for potential investors evaluating the company's future prospects.

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For more in-depth analysis and additional InvestingPro Tips, including the company's profitability over the last twelve months, readers can visit https://www.investing.com/pro/MMLP. There are 5 additional InvestingPro Tips available to provide a comprehensive understanding of Martin Midstream Partners L.P.'s financial health and future outlook. Interested readers can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

Full transcript - Martin Midstream (MMLP) Q1 2024:

Operator: Thank you for standing by. My name is Krista, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Martin Midstream Partners First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now turn the conference over to Sharon Taylor, Chief Financial Officer. Sharon, you may begin.

Sharon Taylor: Thank you. Good morning, everyone and welcome to Martin Midstream Partners conference call to discuss first quarter 2024 earnings. During this call, we will make forward-looking statements as defined by the SEC. These statements are based upon our current beliefs as well as assumptions made by the management team and information currently available to us. Please refer to our earnings press release issued yesterday afternoon and posted on our website as well as our latest filings with the SEC for a list of factors that could impact the future performance of Martin and cause our actual results to differ materially from our expectations. We will discuss non-GAAP financial measures on today's call. The earnings press release includes a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to their comparable GAAP financial measures. With me on the call today are Bob Bondurant, CEO of Martin Midstream; Randy Tauscher, COO; David Cannon, Controller; and Danny Cavin, Director of FP&A. Now, I'll turn it over to Bob to discuss first quarter earnings.

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Bob Bondurant: Thanks, Sharon. I would like to begin the discussion by focusing on our overall first quarter operating performance. For the first quarter, we had adjusted EBITDA of $30.4 million compared to first quarter guidance of $31.6 million. A modest $1.2 million miss compared to forecast. For the first quarter, our largest cash flow generator was once again our transportation segment, which had adjusted EBITDA of $13.2 million compared to guidance of $10.2 million. Within this segment, our land transportation business had adjusted EBITDA of $9 million compared to guidance of $7.1 million. Our revenue exceeded forecast by approximately $1 million as we beat our anticipated first quarter mileage by 8%. Even though the number of loads from refinery sulfur producers was down significantly due to their extended turnarounds. Also, operating expenses were $0.8 million below forecast due to lower truck and trailer maintenance expense, which should be a future trend as we continue to replace older equipment with new. Our marine transportation business had adjusted EBITDA of $4.2 million compared to guidance of $3.1 million. Marine transportation revenue exceeded forecast by $0.8 million as average inland transportation day rates exceeded forecast by 4%, while achieving approximately 100% utilization. Additionally, we had reduced operating expenses compared to forecast of approximately $0.3 million. Looking towards the second quarter, we believe the performance of both of our transportation business lines will continue to remain strong and both have the potential to outperform second quarter guidance. Our second strongest cash flow generator in the fourth quarter was our Terminalling and Storage segment, which had adjusted EBITDA of $9 million compared to guidance of $9.4 million. While revenues approximated our forecast, our expenses were higher by approximately $0.5 million. The primary cause of the expense overage was repair and maintenance costs at our Smackover refinery. These costs were associated with the January restart of the refinery after we had taken it offline due to the extreme cold weather during the week of January 14. Looking toward the second quarter, all of our locations are continuing to operate normally and based on the consistency of revenue generated by this segment's fee-based business model, our terminalling group should perform at forecast for the second quarter. Now I'd like to discuss the performance of our Sulfur Services segment, which was our third largest cash flow generator in the first quarter. In this segment, we had adjusted EBITDA of $6.7 million compared to guidance of $9.8 million. Our fertilizer group had adjusted EBITDA of $4.2 million compared to guidance of $6.6 million. Overall, for the first quarter, we had sales volume, which exceeded our forecast of tons sold by 11%. Offsetting this were lower product margins per ton than forecasted. The combination of higher volume sales offset by lower margins fully account for the $2.4 million miss when compared to fertilizer guidance. Continued competitive pressure throughout the quarter did not allow us to realize higher forecasted sales prices, which negatively impacted first quarter fertilizer margins. Looking towards the second quarter, we continue to see solid sales volumes and believe that should continue throughout the quarter. We still see headwinds regarding margin expansion. And as a result, there is some chance we might not fully achieve our second quarter fertilizer forecast. The pure sulfur side of our Sulfur Services segment had adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 million compared to guidance of $3.2 million. The primary driver of the miss in forecast was reduced sulfur volumes produced by our Gulf Coast refinery suppliers. This was due to the extended turnarounds many of these refiners experienced in the first quarter. Actual volumes received were significantly less than forecast as our average standing volume received was only 2,450 tons per day. This compares to the fourth quarter average daily volume received of 3,550 tons per day. Looking toward the second quarter, Gulf Coast refineries are back to producing normal sulfur volumes as we are currently receiving approximately 3,550 tons per day. Based on this data, we believe we should achieve our second quarter forecast for the pure sulfur side of our Sulfur Services segment. Finally, I would like to discuss the first quarter performance of our Specialty Products segment. In this segment, we had adjusted EBITDA of $5.4 million compared to guidance of $6 million. While our Greece business, along with our remaining NGL businesses achieved forecast, the entire EBITDA mix can be accounted for by the underperformance of our packaged lubricant business. In the first quarter, this business actually achieved its forecasted sales volume while realizing slightly poorer margins than forecasted. An additional problem for our packaged lubricant business and achieving its forecast were operating issues that occurred in the month of January, beginning with the same extreme cold weather that impacted our refinery. Since January, management of this business have taken corrective actions and have been intimately involved in day-to-day operations. This has resulted in a more streamlined operating environment with improved blending process flows, which has positively driven operating results more toward forecasted performance. Looking toward the second quarter, we currently see significant improvement in our packaged lubricant business when compared to the first quarter and believe our Specialty Products segment will achieve its second quarter guidance. Overall, looking to the second quarter for our entire company, we see potential upside to second quarter guidance in our transportation business with some slight downside risk to guidance in our fertilizer business. All of our other business lines should approximate their forecast. Now, I'd like to turn the call back over to Sharon to discuss our balance sheet, capital expenditures and capital resources.

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Sharon Taylor: Thank you, Bob. I'll begin with a normal walk through of the debt components of the balance sheet, discuss our bank ratios and liquidity, capital spending for the quarter and end with a brief discussion of 2024 guidance. On March 31, 2024, the partnership had total long-term debt outstanding of $450 million compared to $442.5 million on December 31, 2023. Our revolving credit facility balance was $50 million, and the notional amount of our second lien secured notes was $400 million. Our total liquidity was $101.4 million based on our $175 million revolving credit facility, adjusted for a slight leverage constraint and outstanding letters of credit. Looking ahead, the commitment under the revolving credit facility will decrease to $150 million on June 30, 2024. We anticipate this decrease in liquidity to have no operational impact on the partnership. At the end of the quarter, our bank compliant adjusted leverage ratio was 3.81x. Senior leverage was 0.42x and interest coverage was 2.21x. An adjusted leverage ratio of 3.75x or lower remains our long-term goal and management will continue to focus our efforts on that target as we contemplate capital allocation. Total capital investments in the first quarter were $17.4 million, which was comprised of $6.2 million for growth capital projects, $5.3 million in refinery turnaround costs and $5.9 million of maintenance capital expenditures. Included in the growth capital number was $4.8 million in improvements to our Plainview facility to produce oleum to be delivered to the DSM Semichem or ELSA joint venture. We are maintaining our 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $116.1 million, even though the first quarter was a slight miss. The presentation attached to our earnings press release yesterday outlined the shift in forecasted earnings between the business segments when compared to the forecast we discussed on our last earnings call. The material differences in forecasted earnings are in the transportation and sulfur segment as we now anticipate higher earnings for both our land and marine transport division offset by competitive pressure on our fertilizer business and extended refinery turnarounds that reduced our sulfur services volumes in the first quarter. I'll now turn the call back to the operator for Q&A.

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Operator: [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Kyle May from Sidoti.

Kyle May: And thanks for all the additional detail today. I wanted to start with the transportation segment and again, I know you kind of gave a lot of details, but wondering if you could just kind of give us an update on the rate environment for both the marine and land transportation. And then secondly, maybe if you could kind of give us a little bit more color on the difference in 1Q results versus what you're seeing in your guidance for 2Q?

Randy Tauscher: Kyle, this is Randy. Thank you for the question. I'll start with Marine. And to start with, Marine, I think you really have to go back to the end of the first quarter of 2022 and compare that to the end of the first quarter of 2023, we saw a 25% increase in rates. And then you go forward another year to the end of the first quarter of 2024, you see a 20% increase in rates. So we saw basically a 50% increase in rates in the marine business over the last 2 years. And over the course of the first quarter, they were still escalating. We were 8% higher at the end of the first quarter than we were at the end of the fourth quarter. So we have taken this opportunity now with the rates have gone to and locked in more term than we traditionally have or even toes in that business. And so we have basically all of our toes locked up term, except for those that are in dry dock now are going to dry dock over the next month. And so we have about 5 months term on that. And so the rates right now, and I'll tell you are between will give you a wide range between $11,000 and $12,000 a day. So very strong rates in the business, and we largely have it locked into the end of the third quarter of this coming year. Going to MTI, I would call the rates stable. We're certainly not seeing an increase in rate. We have fluctuations in our revenue per mile given some of the changes we've had in the trucking business over the last 90 days. For example, down in Beaumont, as Bob said in his comments, we had sulfur loads due to extended refinery turnarounds and that certainly impacted our performance there. But on the chemical and the lubricant side, we saw an increase from what we had expected and those are generally longer routes for us. And so we saw improvement there. So I would say, as we're looking forward in that business, the refineries in Beaumont are now running like we expect to see them run and like they like to run, which is a fairly high utilization. We're still having good long-haul sales to the chemicals in the lubricant space. So I would expect the rates for MTI to be stable, at least into the immediate future.

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Bob Bondurant: And I'm going to add one comment back on Marine. We're always looking at what's the growth in new equipment coming online, and we're not seeing really any significant build programs by any of our competitors. So our vision is these rates will be higher for a longer period of time than what has historically been the case.

Kyle May: Okay. Great. That's all really helpful. And then maybe switching over to the fertilizer business if I'm looking at the guidance correctly, you raised the outlook for fertilizer in the fourth quarter of this year from $2.4 million to $3.2 million. Just kind of curious what's driving that change? If it's just timing or if there's something else going on?

Randy Tauscher: Yes. We made a small growth investment up in Senate Cap where we have expanded our warehouse there. So we're going to be able to operate longer into the summer months, have more inventory, up there to sell during the season where we sell our dispersal, which is primarily the fall and early winter season. So we see an improvement in fertilizer EBITDA from what we were projecting earlier in the year to now.

Kyle May: Okay. That makes sense. And then one more for me. I think recently, there was news Samsung (KS:005930) received a sizable grant that will be used to build a second chip making factory. I'm just curious of the second factory would fall under the DSM Semichem joint venture or maybe that's potential upside down the road?

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Randy Tauscher: Yes. The second shift factory and they have committed to a second shift factor. We don't know precisely what size of ships they're going to be producing it, which makes a difference into what asset they need. So that's an unknown. So no there's no commitment to us on a second ship factory down in Taylor, but that certainly is upside for the future.

Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Selman Akyol from Stifel.

Selman Akyol: So I guess just few follow-ups. So just kind of going back to the barge you talked about going into dry dock. Can you say how many are going into dry dock? Or is this going to be a heavier dry docking than others?

Randy Tauscher: Yes. So this is a heavy dry-dock year for Marine. But we got a lot of that out of the way in the first quarter, Sel. And in the second quarter, we had 2 of our line barge toes going to dry-dock. And in the fourth quarter, we will only have one. So by the time we reach the end of the second quarter, we'll have most of our maintenance work done for the year in terms of the marine equipment.

Selman Akyol: Got it. Understood. And then just kind of going back to ELSA. Besides Samsung, are you guys having any other conversations with any other companies, given sort of the U.S. is trying to ramp up chip production?

Randy Tauscher: The answer is yes. And Samsung is the marketer for the DSM Semichem joint venture. So they are handling those discussions. But yes, the answer is yes. We anticipate selling a significant amount to parties other than Samsung and Taylor through Samsung's efforts and marketing.

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Selman Akyol: And any idea on when some of that might come to fruition?

Randy Tauscher: Yes. I mean it's the same as when we spoke 60 days ago. The projects have been delayed, and we anticipate significant sales to begin occurring in the second half of 2025, which is about a year delay from when we entered into this project several years ago.

Selman Akyol: Right. And then -- but just when you get your oleum tower up and complete, we should still expect some revenue in the fourth quarter?

Randy Tauscher: Yes. When we get the oleum tower up and complete, and the ELSA plan is commissioned, we will start receiving a reservation fee. And that's what the capital that we spent to construct the holding tower and the tie-ins and that will happen no later than October 2024.

Selman Akyol: Got it. Got it. And then just kind of going back to transportation, anything in terms of just sort of like potentially new contracts you guys could be inking out there? Are you seeing any sort of increased demand for your services?

Randy Tauscher: I would say that we would define the services in both the marine and the trucking as stable. We're not looking at any new opportunities for significant growth in this business, just utilizing our current assets and possibly some incremental growth on the trucking side to the extent we think we can get the truck driver, get all the equipment we need to do it and be able to sell the services.

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Selman Akyol: Okay. Last one for me. On the turnaround expense for you guys, was there anything unusual about that? I mean, it just seems awfully large to us. I'm just trying to understand, was there something unusual? Or are we just seeing inflation there?

Randy Tauscher: We had a heavy turnaround year. Inflation is certainly part of that equation, Selman. But we have a heavy year. We budgeted at the beginning of the year, $32 million were still there. The first quarter, we had a significant part of that because we had a refinery turnaround in the first quarter, and that was in excess of $5 million. That's an every other year event in the second quarter. So you're not surprised we'll also be large I would say by the end of the second quarter of our $32 million, we're going to have spent $24.5 million to $26.5 million because of the refinery, because of the Plainview turnaround that we move forward this year earlier than typical, so we can tie into DSM Semichem and provide good operations for them going forward. And then because of the maintenance program we've had on the marine vessel which were very heavy this year. We have both offshore units already in the shipyard this year and then we had about 40% of our barges and vessels had to go this year. And that's all just regulatory driven and timing driven.

Operator: That concludes our question-and-answer session. I will now turn the call back over to Bob Bondurant for closing remarks.

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Bob Bondurant: Thank you, operator. I want to thank Kyle and Selman for the questions and interest today. And we look forward to continuing to execute our business plan and feel optimistic about our future performance. This will conclude our first quarter call.

Operator: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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