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Earnings call: Select Medical reports solid Q2 growth, plans future expansions

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 2024-08-04, 11:22 a/m
© Reuters.
SEM
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Select Medical (NYSE:SEM) Holdings Corporation (NYSE: SEM), a leading operator of critical illness recovery hospitals, reported its second quarter 2024 financial results, revealing a robust performance with significant operational expansions.

The company completed the initial public offering of Concentra on July 26 and retains a majority stake of 82.23%. With plans to distribute the remaining interest to shareholders within a year, Select Medical is also advancing its growth strategy by opening new facilities and reporting revenue increases in its hospital divisions.

Key Takeaways

  • Select Medical completed Concentra's IPO, still owns 82.23%.
  • Plans to open new hospitals in Chicago and Jacksonville, with more in 2025 and 2026.
  • Inpatient rehabilitation division saw double-digit growth; outpatient added 15 clinics.
  • Consolidated adjusted EBITDA and revenue grew by 3% and 5%, respectively.
  • Quarterly earnings per share at $0.60; declared dividend of $0.125.
  • Labor costs improved, with a decrease in RN agency costs and nursing sign-on bonuses.
  • Anticipates year-end net leverage between 3.2-3.3 times, with projected revenues up to $7.1 billion.

Company Outlook

  • Revenue forecast for 2024: $6.9 billion to $7.1 billion.
  • Adjusted EBITDA projection: $845 million to $885 million.
  • Anticipated fully diluted earnings per share: $1.95 to $2.19.
  • Adjusted earnings per share expected: $1.96 to $2.20.
  • Capital expenditures for 2024 estimated between $225 million and $275 million.

Bearish Highlights

  • Earnings per share slightly decreased compared to the previous year.
  • No shares were repurchased under the current authorization during the quarter.

Bullish Highlights

  • Successfully launched Concentra's IPO and plans to reward shareholders.
  • Hospital divisions outperformed revenue expectations.
  • Labor costs showed improvement, with decreased RN agency costs and sign-on bonuses.

Misses

  • A negative impact is expected in Q4 due to increased interest expenses.

Q&A Highlights

  • Martin Jackson discussed focusing on clinical efficiencies and scheduling improvements.
  • Wage rates for permanent staff in critical illness hospitals are stabilizing to pre-pandemic levels.
  • A reminder of an upcoming Concentra call was given at the end of the session.

Select Medical's strategic developments and operational efficiencies have positioned the company for continued growth. With its hospital divisions exceeding revenue expectations and labor costs being managed effectively, the company is navigating the challenges of the healthcare industry while pursuing expansion and rewarding shareholders. The upcoming quarters will be critical as Select Medical continues to implement its development plans and adjusts to the changing interest expense landscape.

InvestingPro Insights

Select Medical Holdings Corporation (NYSE: SEM) has demonstrated a robust financial performance in Q2 2024, coupled with significant operational advancements. As investors consider the implications of these developments, it's beneficial to examine some key metrics and insights provided by InvestingPro.

InvestingPro Data indicates that Select Medical has a market capitalization of $4.44 billion and is trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.35, which adjusts to 16.61 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This valuation metric is particularly interesting when paired with the company's PEG ratio of 0.56 for the same period, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings growth potential.

The company's revenue growth remains positive, with a 5.92% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This aligns with the company's reported revenue increases in its hospital divisions, highlighting its operational success. Additionally, Select Medical's robust gross profit margin of 20.1% underscores its ability to maintain profitability amidst its expansion efforts.

InvestingPro Tips provide further context to the company's stock performance. Despite a significant price drop over the last week, Select Medical has experienced a large price uptick over the last six months, with a total return of 30.55%, and a year-to-date total return of 46.66%. This volatility in stock price may present opportunities for investors.

Moreover, analysts predict that Select Medical will be profitable this year, which is corroborated by the company's profitability over the last twelve months. This outlook is essential for investors considering the company's future amidst its strategic developments and potential challenges.

For investors seeking additional insights, there are more InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/SEM, which can provide a deeper analysis and help inform investment decisions.

In summary, Select Medical's strategic initiatives and financial metrics suggest a company that is navigating the healthcare sector effectively. The InvestingPro Insights provide a snapshot of the company's financial health and market perception, which could be valuable for shareholders and potential investors alike.

Full transcript - Select Medical Holdings Corp (SEM) Q2 2024:

Operator: Good morning, and thank you for joining us today for Select Medical Holdings Corporation's earnings conference call to discuss the second quarter 2024 results and the Company's business outlook. Speaking today are the Company's Executive Chairman and Co-Founder, Robert Ortenzio, and the Company's Senior Executive Vice President of Strategic Finance and Operations, Martin Jackson. Management will give you an overview of the quarter and then open the call for questions. Before we get started, we would like to remind you that this conference call may contain forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of the Company, including, without limitation, statements regarding operating results, growth opportunities and other statements that refer to Select Medical's plans, expectations, strategies, intentions and beliefs. These forward-looking statements are based on the information available to management of Select Medical today, and the Company assumes no obligation to update these statements as circumstances change. At this time, I will turn the conference over to Mr. Robert Ortenzio.

Robert Ortenzio: Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Select Medical's earnings call for second quarter 2024. Before I address our second quarter results, I wanted to highlight a few items. First, we successfully completed Concentra's initial public offering on July 26. The extraordinary efforts of many of our Concentra and Select colleagues throughout the process are greatly appreciated. Concentra issued 22,500,000 shares at an IPO share price of $23.50 and now trades under the symbol CON on the New York Stock Exchange. The underwriters of the IPO transaction have a 30-day option to purchase an additional 3,375,000 shares of Concentra common stock. Select Medical still owns 82.23% of Concentra's stock, or 80.09% if the underwriters exercised their full allotment. Select expects to distribute its remaining interest in Concentra to its shareholders within 12 months of the IPO as required by the private letter ruling from the IRS. In connection with the planned separation, Concentra entered into financing arrangements, which included a new senior credit facility, consisting of $850 million seven-year term loan, a $400 million five-year revolving facility, which was undrawn at closing, and $650 million of 6.875% senior notes due 2032. The majority of the net proceeds from the Concentra IPO-related debt transactions were used by Select to pay down debt. Concentra will be holding -- hosting their first conference call later this morning at 10:30 Eastern Time, where they will provide more detailed information regarding their performance and insight into their business. On another positive note, US News & World Report recently issued its annual best hospitals list. I'm pleased to share with you that six Select Medical rehabilitation hospitals at 12 locations have been placed among the top in the nation for 2024-2025. They are at Number 4, Kessler Institute for Rehabilitation; Number 14, Banner (NASDAQ:BANR) Rehabilitation Hospital; Number 20, Baylor Scott & White Institute for Rehabilitation, Dallas; Number 23, California Rehabilitation Institute in Los Angeles; Number 24, Cleveland Clinic Rehabilitation Hospital; and Number 38, OhioHealth Rehabilitation Hospital in Columbus. This marks the 32nd consecutive year that Kessler Institute has been named among the nation's best hospitals for rehabilitation and the fourth year in a row for Baylor Scott & White Dallas and OhioHealth. This recognition spotlights the commitment of each hospital providing the highest quality of care to patients and their families every day. It also demonstrates the dedication of every team member to our culture of delivering an exceptional patient experience. On the development front, we opened a new critical illness recovery hospital with a distinct-part rehabilitation unit in Chicago with RUSH University system, adding 44 critical illness and 56 rehab beds on April 9th. We are on target to open a 48-bed rehab hospital in Jacksonville, Florida later this year with our partner, UF Health Jacksonville. The joint venture hospital and a hospital branded UF Health Rehabilitation - North will be located in a new tower of UF Health. There are many other exciting development projects we have in the works for 2025 and 2026 in the inpatient rehabilitation division. To recap, in 2025, we're opening our fourth rehab hospital with Cleveland Clinic in Fairhill, our second hospital with UPMC in Central Pennsylvania, and our fourth rehab hospital as part of our joint venture with Banner in Tucson, Arizona. In 2026, we are planning to open a new 60-bed rehab hospital in Southern New Jersey, the Bacharach Institute for Rehab in partnership with AtlantiCare, and have scheduled to open a new freestanding 63-bed rehab hospital in Ozark, Missouri with CoxHealth system. Overall, we are very pleased with the development results and the pipeline for our specialty hospital divisions. Between the specific projects just mentioned, as well as some other smaller expansions in new distinct part units in existing hospitals, we plan to add 449 additional beds to our operations from the remainder of 2024 through 2026. The additional beds consist of 423 rehab hospital beds, which includes 54 non-consolidating beds and 26 LTC beds. There are also many other opportunities under evaluation that would further increase our Select Specialty Hospital footprint. This quarter, our outpatient rehab division added 15 clinics via eight de novos and three acquisitions, a total of of seven clinics. This is offset by the closure of five underperforming clinics and the fold-in of seven clinics into existing operations upon lease expiration. The pipeline for future growth remains strong, with 16 executed leases for de novo clinics, scheduled to open later this year, along with one clinic acquisition in North Jersey. Moving on to the second quarter results, we continue 2024 with another strong quarter. The hospital divisions continued to exceed our expectations with the inpatient rehabilitation division returning double-digit growth in both revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the second straight quarter this year. Overall, our consolidated adjusted EBITDA grew 3% and revenue grew by 5% compared to Q2 of the prior year, with all four divisions exceeding prior year revenue. For the quarter, total Company adjusted EBITDA was $226.3 million compared to $219.5 million in the prior year. Our consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin was 12.9% for Q2 compared to 13.1% in the prior year. Our critical illness recovery hospital division continues to perform well with a 5% increase in revenue and a 10% increase in adjusted EBITDA compared to same quarter prior year. Critical illness incurred $3.6 million of start-up losses related to new hospitals this quarter compared to $5.1 million in the same quarter prior year. Current quarter start-up losses primarily relate to the opening of RUSH Specialty hospital in April. And while our occupancy was slightly down from same quarter last year at 67%, down from 68%, our average daily census increased 1%. Our rate per day increased by 4%. Our adjusted EBITDA margin was 11.9% for the quarter compared to 11.4% in prior year Q2. Critical illness experienced a 1% reduction in their salary, wage and benefits to revenue ratio compared to prior year Q2 with a 56.1% margin. Nursing agency utilization decreased 14%, and agency rates decreased by 4% compared to same quarter prior year. Orientation hours decreased 12% to prior year -- from prior year Q2. Nursing sign-on incentive bonuses decreased 18% from prior year Q2. On the regulatory front, yesterday afternoon, CMS issued the final LTC rules for fiscal year 2024, which will be effective October 1 of this year. The final rule includes a 2.6% increase in the federal base rate, which is higher than the proposed rule at 2.4%. The high cost outlier threshold increased by $17,175 from $59,873 to $77,048, which was higher, and the increased outlier in the proposed rule of $15,524. The MS-LTC-DRG relative weight and expected length of stay were also updated in the final rule. As previously mentioned, our inpatient rehab hospital division had a very strong quarter with 11% increase in revenue and 13% increase in adjusted EBITDA compared to Q2 prior year. Inpatient rehab incurred $3 million of startup losses this quarter, primarily related to the opening of RUSH Specialty Hospital unit in April compared to no startup losses in the prior year. Average daily census increased 7%, and our rate per patient day increased 5%. Our occupancy of 84% was consistent with prior year. The adjusted EBITDA margin for inpatient rehab was 23.1% for Q2, which was higher than the prior year margin of 22.7%. This week, CMS issued the final inpatient rehab rules for fiscal 2025, which were effective October 1. The final rule includes a 1.97% increase in standard federal payment rate, which is higher than the 1.79% included in the proposed rule. The high-cost outlier threshold increased $1,620, which is slightly less than the $1,735 increase in the proposed rule. The CMG relative weights and average length of stay values were also updated in the final rule. Concentra experienced an increase of 2% in net revenues and 1% in adjusted EBITDA over prior year same quarter. The increase in revenue was driven primarily by a 4% increase in rate, which was attributed to state fee schedule increases, along with a higher mix of workers' comp visit. Consistent with the first quarter, Concentra's work comp volume remained strong with an increase of 2%. It was offset by a 4% decrease in employer-based visits, which are reimbursed at lower rates. Demand for employer-based visits have normalized compared to the COVID years, where we experienced a significant churn in labor force. We expect a decrease in employer-based visits to level off in the near future. Concentra's adjusted EBITDA margin was 21.3% for the quarter compared to 21.5% in the same quarter prior year. Outpatient rehab division experienced an increase of 4% in revenue with patient volumes increasing by 4% and net revenue per visit of $100, consistent with prior year. Our volume continues to maintain an upward trend. And net revenue per visit has stabilized with improvements in commercial managed care rates, offset by a decrease in our Medicare rates. The outpatient division's adjusted EBITDA decreased 12% compared to prior year, and the adjusted EBITDA margin went from 10.8% to 9.1%. Our outpatient team is focused on improving patient access, productivity and staffing. Thus far in Q3, we have seen positive results when compared to prior year Q3 performance. Earnings per share and adjusted earnings per share were $0.60 for the second quarter compared to $0.61 per share in the same quarter prior year. In regards to our allocation and deployment of capital, our Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.125, payable on August 30 to stockholders of record as of the close of business of August 14. This past quarter, we did not repurchase shares under our Board authorized share repurchase program, and we continue to evaluate stock repurchases, reduction of debt and development opportunities. That concludes my prepared remarks. I'll turn it over to Marty Jackson for some additional financial details before we open the call up for questions.

Martin Jackson: Thanks, Bob, and good morning, everyone. I'll begin by providing additional detail on the progress we continue to make regarding labor costs within the critical illness recovery hospital division. Overall, our SW&B as a percentage of revenue ratio was in line with our expectations at 56.1% this quarter, which is a decrease from 56.7% in Q2 of prior year. In the second quarter of this year, we again saw a decrease in agency costs and utilization from prior year Q2. Compared to Q2 '23, RN agency costs decreased by 16% and utilization decreased from 18% down to 16%. The agency rate for RNs also decreased by 4% from $77 to $74. Nursing sign-on incentive bonuses decreased, as Bob had mentioned, by 18% from Q2 of prior year and 16% from the first quarter of this year. Finally, we also saw a decrease of 12% in our orientation hours for new hires. We are very pleased with the continued [Technical Issues] in regards to our labor costs. Moving on to our financials, in Q2, equity in earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries were $6.3 million. This compares to $10.5 million in the same quarter prior year. The decline in earnings was largely a result of the write-off of an impaired business we had a minority interest in. Net income attributable to non-controlling interest was $17.2 million. This compares to $13.6 million in the same quarter prior year. This increase is due to improved performance in our consolidated joint ventures. Interest expense was $37.1 million in the second quarter. This compares to $49 million in the same quarter of prior year. The reduction in interest expense was principally due to the accelerated recognition of the gain of our interest rate hedge due to the prepayment of our term loan, which occurred in July as a result of the Concentra IPO. At the end of the quarter, we had $3.6 billion of debt outstanding and $111.2 million of cash on the balance sheet. Our debt balance at the end of the quarter includes $2 billion in term loans, $345 million in revolving loans, $1.2 billion in 6.25% senior notes, and $63.4 million of other miscellaneous debt. We ended the quarter with net leverage of our senior secured credit agreement of 4.13 times. As of June 30, we had $367.4 million of availability on our revolving loans. The interest rate on the $2 billion of our term loans is capped at 1% SOFR plus 300 basis points through September 30, 2024. At the end of July, we utilized the proceeds from the IPO that Bob had mentioned and related debt transactions to pay off $300 million that was outstanding on our revolver with the remainder allocated to prepay $1.64 billion of our term loan. At the end of July, our consolidated debt balance, which includes Concentra, was approximately $3.1 billion with approximately $1.5 billion residing at Concentra and $1.6 billion at Select. Our consolidated net leverage is now approximately 3.5 times with Select leverage around 3.2 times and Concentra approximately 3.8 times. We expect to finish this year at approximately 3.2 times to 3.3 times leverage on a consolidated basis with Select slightly below 3 times and Concentra at 3.5 times to 3.6 times levered. For the second quarter, operating activities provided $278.2 million in cash flow. Our days sales outstanding or DSO, was 56 days at June 30, 2024 compared to 52 days at June 30, '23 and 58 days at March 31, 2024. The improvement compared to Q1 is attributable to the reduction in claims processing backlog that was impacted by the Change Healthcare (NASDAQ:CHNG) cyber incident. We continue to see a reduction in our DSO in Q3 as we move on from the cyber incident. Investing activities used $54.1 million of cash in the second quarter, primarily due to $55.5 million in purchases of property, equipment and other assets, slightly offset by a sale of assets. Financing activities used $205.5 million of cash in the second quarter. We had $165 million in net payments on our revolving lines of credit, $16.3 million in dividends on our common stock and $14.2 million in net payments on other debt. As stated previously, we did not repurchase any shares under our Board-authorized repurchase program this quarter. Last year, the Board approved a two-year extension of the share repurchase program, which remains in effect until December 31, 2025, unless further extended or earlier terminated by the Board. We are reaffirming our business outlook. For 2024, we expect revenues to be in the range of $6.9 billion to $7.1 billion, adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $845 million to $885 million, fully diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $1.95 to $2.19, and adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $1.96 to $2.20. Capital expenditures are expected to be in the range of $225 million to $275 million for 2024 with the majority of those dollars towards development. This concludes our prepared remarks. And at this time, we would like to turn it back over to the operator to open the call up for questions.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Ben Hendrix with RBC (TSX:RY) Capital Markets.

Ben Hendrix: Thank you very much. I just wanted to get a little more information on the LTAC margin. I appreciate the comments about the start-up costs in the quarter. So just is there's any other one-timers that would create -- that would explain that sequential phasing from 1Q to 2Q, whether they're seasonal aspects or anything onetime in that sequential decline? Thank you.

Martin Jackson: Yeah, Ben, there was just -- I think we're only talking about a 1% drop of occupancy on a year-over-year basis. So it's relatively the same for us. The seasonality -- we didn't really see too much seasonality in there. If you're saying compared to Q1 versus Q2, we think it's really -- that's what we've been seeing during normal times. Q1 is always our highest quarter. Q2, we see a drop in census.

Robert Ortenzio: And the other thing I would add is, Q1 of this year was an extraordinary year in terms of volume. We just saw ICUs at our acute care hospital referral sources to be really just exceptionally high in Q1. So, that explains the sequential -- your question on the sequential differences. We expect the second quarter to be less just in terms of the pulmonary volumes.

Ben Hendrix: Great. Thanks, guys. Appreciate it.

Martin Jackson: Thanks, Ben.

Operator: Thank you. One moment please for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of A.J. Rice with UBS.

A.J. Rice: Hi, everybody. Maybe just a couple of questions. On the outpatient rehab business, obviously, the revenue -- the visits seem pretty standard normal trend. I just wonder, on the margin side of that, it sounds like you're looking at some efficiencies, looking at things there. Is it really unique rate -- a little bit of rate lift to get back on the track where it's stable to improving margins? Or are there opportunities within the business to make adjustments that will drive that margin -- potential for margins to build an improvement over time?

Martin Jackson: Yeah, A.J., this is Marty. Certainly, rate would have a positive impact on margin, but that's not really the only thing. We've got to -- we've really kind of focused on a couple of areas. One is clinical efficiencies, meaning seeing -- therapists see -- the number of patients a therapist sees in a day. And then also, we are really focused on scheduling, making sure the scheduling is appropriate -- is efficient.

A.J. Rice: Any thought about -- go ahead, I'm sorry.

Martin Jackson: We think that, that will probably take us -- we've been working on this. We think that over the next two quarters, in particular, starting off into the new year, we anticipate that some things that we're doing will help such as some -- we're looking at scheduling modules that should help us improve our scheduling efficiency. And I think really, when you take a look at the new year, we expect to see some real benefit.

A.J. Rice: Okay. I appreciate all the comments about contract labor and bonus payments and everything. I guess, when you peel all that back, maybe you said this, but I didn't hear it, the underlying wage rates you're seeing with your permanent or labor cost, however you want to describe it, with your permanent staff in the critical illness hospitals, I guess, is the main focus. What is that trending at now?

Martin Jackson: Yeah. Right now, A.J., we're seeing that in the 3% to 3.5% range.

A.J. Rice: Okay. So, that's sort of back to pre-pandemic levels. Is that right?

Martin Jackson: It really is.

A.J. Rice: Yeah. Just the last question, trying to think through what's embedded in the guidance down to the EPS line. You mentioned that you've got a sort of reset on some of the protections you had on interest rates starting -- going into the fourth quarter. Are you assuming in that guidance a step-up in borrowing costs? I guess, what are you assuming for borrowing costs or interest expense in Q3 and Q4 in that guidance that you are sharing today?

Martin Jackson: Yes, we are. We have included -- in particular, in the fourth quarter, in essence, borrowing costs will go from the 300 basis point spread plus 1% SOFR to 4%. Today, SOFR is running in that 5.3% range. So, that will certainly have a negative impact in the fourth quarter.

A.J. Rice: Okay. All right. So, that's roughly the order of magnitude of the impact on that particular tranche of debt. That makes sense. All right. Thanks a lot.

Martin Jackson: Thank you, A.J.

Operator: Thank you. I am showing no further questions. So, with that, I hand the call back over to management for any closing remarks.

Robert Ortenzio: Thanks, operator. And just to remind that there is a Concentra call that will be at 10:30 Eastern today, so you'll get a lot more granularity on our Concentra division. With that, I'll end the call. Thank you.

Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating. This does conclude today's program and you may now disconnect.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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