SmartFinancial Inc . (NYSE:SMBK) presented its Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call with robust financial results and optimistic projections for the future. The company reported a net income of $9.1 million, translating to $0.54 per diluted share. A notable increase in the tangible book value to $22.67 per share and a strong loan growth of over 16% annualized were among the key financial highlights. The net interest margin improved to 3.11%, and the company is expecting continued margin expansion, aiming for a $50 million operating revenue target by the third quarter of 2025.
Key Takeaways
- Net income stood at $9.1 million, or $0.54 per diluted share.
- Tangible book value increased to $22.67 per share, a 19% annualized rise.
- Loan growth was robust at over 16% annualized.
- Deposits remained steady at $4.3 billion, with core growth of over $50 million.
- Net interest margin improved to 3.11%.
- Operating noninterest income reached $9.1 million, with total revenue at $44.1 million.
- Anticipated continued margin expansion and a future effective tax rate of around 20%.
- Management aims for mid to high single-digit loan growth and a $50 million operating revenue target by Q3 2025.
Company Outlook
- Management forecasts a net interest margin of 3.10% to 3.15% for Q4 and expects the margin to expand throughout 2025.
- The firm is focused on strategic core deposit growth and managing rates in response to market conditions.
- The company is optimistic about its pipeline and market conditions, maintaining operational leverage and a strong company culture.
Bearish Highlights
- Expectations for noninterest income from swaps and investment products are tempered for Q4.
- The company is forecasting a slight reduction in loan rates.
Bullish Highlights
- SmartFinancial reported solid revenue growth, expanding margins, and sound credit quality.
- The company added 15 new sales team members and effectively utilized the nCino platform for enhanced prospecting.
- SmartFinancial received a Great Place To Work certification, highlighting its strong culture.
Misses
- No specific misses were reported in the earnings call.
Q&A Highlights
- Catherine Mealor inquired about margin and deposit costs, with Ronald Gorczynski explaining effective management of deposit costs, with 40% of deposits indexed to rate movements.
- The spot rate for new production in September was at 3.81%, including broker deposits.
- The firm expects a quick response to rate changes with a focus on customer retention amid competitive pressures.
SmartFinancial's leadership, including Billy Carroll, expressed confidence in the company's growth trajectory, emphasizing the importance of hiring quality bankers and maintaining guidance for mid to high single-digit loan growth. The company is strategically growing its core deposits while managing rates in response to market conditions. Additionally, SmartFinancial is committed to providing support to clients affected by a recent hurricane in Eastern Tennessee, expecting minor deposit growth from insurance proceeds for community support efforts. The firm's commercial real estate concentration is noted at 288%, yet this is not seen as a hindrance to growth. Looking ahead, SmartFinancial remains focused on achieving its ambitious revenue target while sustaining growth and operational efficiencies.
InvestingPro Insights
SmartFinancial Inc. (SMBK) continues to demonstrate financial resilience and growth potential, as evidenced by its recent earnings report and the additional data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $525.49 million, reflecting its solid position in the regional banking sector.
InvestingPro data reveals that SMBK's P/E ratio is currently at 15.62, suggesting a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings. This aligns with the company's reported net income of $9.1 million and its optimistic outlook for future growth. Moreover, the revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 was $159.2 million, with a notable quarterly revenue growth of 34.61% in Q3 2024, underscoring the company's strong financial performance mentioned in the earnings call.
An InvestingPro Tip highlights that SMBK has raised its dividend for 5 consecutive years, which may appeal to income-focused investors. This consistent dividend growth complements the company's reported increase in tangible book value and robust loan growth.
Another relevant InvestingPro Tip indicates that SMBK is trading near its 52-week high, with a significant price uptick of 54.65% over the last six months. This price performance aligns with the company's positive financial results and management's confident outlook for continued margin expansion and revenue growth.
For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights. Currently, there are 5 more InvestingPro Tips available for SMBK, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.
Full transcript - SmartFinancial Inc (SMBK) Q3 2024:
Operator: Hello all. And welcome to SmartFinancial Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Release and Conference Call. My name is Ezra and I will be your coordinator today [Operator Instructions]. I will now hand you over to your host, Nate Strall, Director of Strategy, to begin. Nate, please go ahead.
Nate Strall: Thanks, Ezra. And good morning, everyone. And welcome to the SmartFinancial's third quarter 2024 earnings conference call. During today's conference call, we will reference the slides and press release that is available in the Investor Relations section on our Web site, smartbank.com. Billy Carroll, our President and Chief Executive Officer, will begin our call followed by Ronald Gorczynski, our Chief Financial Officer, who will provide some additional commentary. We will be able to answer your questions at the end of the call. Our comments include forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties and the actual results could vary materially. We list the factors that might cause these results to differ materially in our press release and in our SEC filings, which are available on our Web site. We do not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements because of new information, early developments or otherwise except may be required by law. During the call, we will reference non-GAAP financial measures related to the company's performance. You will see the reconciliation of these measures in the appendices of the earnings release and investor presentation filed on October 21, 2024 with the SEC. And now I'll turn it over to Billy Carroll, our President and Chief Executive Officer, to open our call. Billy?
Billy Carroll: Thanks, Nate. And good morning, everyone. Great to be with you. And thank you for joining us today and for your interest in SMBK. I'll open our call today with some commentary and hand it over to Ron to walk through the numbers in some greater detail. After our prepared comments, we'll open it up with Ron, Nate, Rhett, Miller and myself available for Q&A. So let's jump right in. We really had a nice quarter and executed on what we've been messaging. We posted net income GAAP and operating of $9.1 million for the quarter or $0.54 per diluted share. I'm proud of the way our team is performing and I'm excited to watch us gain operating leverage as we've anticipated. We had a couple of pennies of boost from a tax strategy as well that we implemented. But even without that, we had outstanding earnings trajectory. Jumping into the highlights, I'll be referring to the first few pages in our deck, Pages 3, 4 and 5. First and in my opinion, one of the most important metrics, we continue to increase the tangible book value of our company, moving up to $22.67 per share, including the impacts of AOCI and $23.69 excluding that impact. That's a 19% annualized quarter-over-quarter increase, including AOCI movement and 9% excluding it, very nice tangible book growth. Looking at the graph on the lower right on Page 5, you'll see the value increase we continue to deliver for our shares. We, again, had a very solid loan growth quarter, over 16% annualized and that's coming off an 11% annualized prior quarter. We saw continued growth in new relationships as well as an increase in funding online. On the deposit side of the balance sheet, we used the quarter to reposition some funding. We had an opportunity to exit a public fund relationship we felt and gotten a little larger and a little more costly than we had wanted. So we leveraged our strong liquidity position and utilized a wholesale funding ladder to fill the gap. Net of that account and wholesale adjustments core growth was over 5%. So when we drill down on deposits, we had a very nice core growth quarter and continue to bring in some outstanding relationships. We also saw our overall costs tick down to 2.54%. Our history of strong credit continues with the metrics holding very low at 26 basis points in NPAs, both NPAs and charge offs were just slightly higher than the prior quarter but still extremely low. That movement continues to be a few lingering [indiscernible] equipment credits we've worked through in our equipment finance subsidiary. That group continues to be a very profitable arm for us and we anticipate those isolated items slowing soon. Total revenue came in at $44.1 million and net interest income continued to expand with an inflection point we've discussed. We also had a stronger than expected noninterest income quarter that Ron will talk about in a bit. Noninterest expenses were just slightly up at $30.8 million. I still feel very good that we can hold our expense growth to very reasonable levels as we look forward. The operating leverage we've talked about on prior calls is starting to happen as we continue to grow the revenue line with minimal investments on the expense end. Looking at the chart on Page 5, highlighting the operating PPNR slide, the movement up has started after a couple of flattish quarters, looking forward and expecting to see that trend continue. So just a couple of additional high level comments for me on growth. We're very pleased with the results. On the loan side, we were up $114 million, again, about 16% annualized for the quarter and over 10% annualized year-to-date. Our regional sales teams are doing a very nice job growing our clients. Yields on the loan side expanded with the full portfolio's average loan yield up 15 basis points to 5.95% and our loan mix was almost identical to the second quarter. I mentioned the remixing of the deposit side. I really like the work we've done here, particularly this quarter, leveraging our position of strength to move out of larger chunkier deposits to lower our overall cost and focus on replacing with more granularity. We pushed the loan-to-deposit ratio up to 86%, which is a nice spot for us. And we also continued to hold our noninterest bearing mix around 20%, not an easy feat in this environment. Our balance sheet pipelines feel very solid. And I'm still holding to our past guidance of mid to high single digits on growth as we look at a couple of quarters, even though we've been able to beat that so far this year. I also think we can pace deposits to organically fund this growth. Also, kudos to Ron and his finance team as well as their tax advisers on executing a nice strategy that should lower our go forward tax rate. That should be a nice little tailwind added as well. So let me go and hand it over to Ron to dive into the details. Ron?
Ronald Gorczynski: Thanks, Billy, and good morning, everyone. I'll start by highlighting some key deposit results. As Billy had mentioned, during the quarter, the bank significantly reduced its exposure to a larger public fund relationship. While this was a tough decision due to our desired support of municipalities where we do business, the account was highly interest rate sensitive and service quality intensive rather than fee driven. As a result, the bank made a strategic decision to minimize this relationship and pursue temporary more cost effective brokered funding. Our total deposits remained flat linked quarter at $4.3 billion, which includes $195 million of broker deposits added to offset the reduction from the previously mentioned relationship. Excluding this relationship impact, deposits grew over $50 million during the quarter and the weighted average cost of nonbrokered production was 3.66%. Total interest bearing costs for the deposit portfolio decreased 3 basis points to 3.20% and were 3.08% for the month of September. Noninterest bearing deposits to total deposits remained relatively in line with previous quarters at 20%. In the future, we anticipate replacing our temporary broker deposits with core deposits as client liquidity balances build and our relationship managers continue to win net new deposit business. Our net interest margin expanded quarter-over-quarter, increasing 14 basis points to 3.11%. This expansion is attributable to several factors, including the previously mentioned deposit repositioning efforts and the favorable 7.40% weighted average yield on new loan originations, resulting in a total portfolio yield increase to 6.02%, which includes accretion in fees for the quarter. Looking ahead, we expect consistent margin expansion into 2025, primarily driven by new loan production, lower yielding fixed and adjustable rate loan amortization and maturities and the bank's liability sensitive interest rate position. The bank's balance sheet is in a strong position for enhanced profitability in the event of any future Fed rate cuts. As a result of these factors and current market conditions, we anticipate a margin in the 3.1% to 3.15% range. Our quarterly provision expense for credit losses were elevated primarily as a result of higher than forecasted loan growth and a slight increase in charge-offs, stemming from our equipment finance division. Overall, the bank's asset quality remains very strong with nonperforming loans to total loans at 0.26%. Operating noninterest income for the quarter reached $9.1 million, reflecting solid performance across all categories. Notably, the bank generated significantly higher income from customer swap transactions and investment services, which rose by $940,000 and $579,000 respectively. Operating expenses were $30.8 million, slightly elevated from our previous guidance. The increase was primarily attributable to increases in our performance based incentive accruals and commissions and the hiring of several commercial sales team associates. Moving forward, we will continue our focus on expense control as part of our ongoing cost management efforts. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we are forecasting noninterest income in the mid to high $7 million range and noninterest expense in the range of $31 million to $31.5 million with salary and benefit expenses comprising $19 million to $19.5 million as accruals for performance based incentives fluctuate. Additionally, during the quarter, the bank established a newly formed real estate investment trust subsidiary to monitor and manage the performance of certain real estate loans and to create a more tax favorable structure. The REIT subsidiary will result in a lower effective tax rate during future periods by lowering the bank's state income tax expense. As a result, we anticipate a future corporate effective tax rate of approximately 20%. I'll conclude with capital. The company's consolidated TCE ratio increased 33 basis points to 8% and total risk based capital ratio decreased slightly by 5 basis points to 11.6%. Overall, we continue to be in a well capitalized position with an optimistic credit and earnings outlook. With that said, I'll turn it back over to Billy.
Billy Carroll: Thanks, Ron. I want to reiterate again the value proposition with our company, drawing your attention back to Page 7 of our deck. We've been on the road a lot in '24, reminding our investors and our stakeholders of what we've accomplished recently. We are seeing the inflection and the movement in our numbers and we have clear vision of our return targets after absorbing the investments we've made. When you look at the franchise we're building, we're in a arguably some of the most attractive markets in the country and have put together a team that is moving this company forward in a great way. What I saw this quarter from our sales teams was really, really good and the by product of the work we've done this year on our sales and prospecting process. We're now leveraging the functionality of our nCino platform and utilizing the sales force front end to consistently create a stronger prospecting process for our sales team. And we're also leading on the price and profitability systems to coach our teams in the value of full relationships. The regional [pricing] structure we have and the accountability we're putting on those zones is really starting to bear fruit. We are continuing to look to add sales talent that fits our culture. We've added 15 new sales team members this year and have several currently in our talent pipeline. We're adding some outstanding regional bankers to our team as I believe we continue to be one of the region's banks of choice for great bankers. I also want to mention the execution of our operations group. Our ops teams are doing some great work as they refine our back of the house and move to KPI driven workflows and management. It’s things like these that people don't see that will be paying big dividends for us as we look ahead So to summarize, I love where we're sitting. We are executing, growing our revenue line and getting the operating leverage we are expecting. Margin is expanding back. Credit continues to be very sound. And we're seeing great new client growth and the sales energy is outstanding. All said, a very nice quarter for our company as we continue to build a profitable and attractive franchise. I appreciate the work of our SmartFinancial, SmartBank team and the efforts of our near 600 associates. This team is continuing to perform well and build a great culture as evidenced by our recent Great Place To Work certification. I'm very proud of what we have going on here at SMBK. So we'll stop there and open it up for questions.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question from Russell Gunther with Stephens.
Russell Gunther: My first question would be on loan growth. So I appreciate all of the color as well as the expectations over the next couple of quarters from mid to high single digits. You certainly outpunched that over the past two. So wondering if you could just share whether it's a sense of conservatism built into the near term outlook, are you expecting an acceleration or normalization of paydowns that might weigh? Just trying to piece together the outlook relative to what has been a much stronger result over the last couple of quarters?
Billy Carroll: I'll start, and then I'll ask Rhett to give a little color too, Russell. Yes, for us, the growth has been really solid. We've had two back-to-back and really first quarter went [bad]. Really, we had two really back-to-back nice quarters. I think as we look -- I think you always anticipate we didn't -- we had some payoffs and paydowns this quarter, we were able to kind of get through that and still post a great growth quarter. But I think we always try to anticipate some additional pay downs. If we don't get some paydowns we could be a little bit higher. But I think just trying to be conservative in our projections and in our estimates and our guidance is where we like to stay. But as I've mentioned, the sales teams are doing a nice job and Rhett, you might give some color on kind of what you're seeing in the pipeline as well as you look ahead in the next few months.
Rhett Jordan: Billy, I think you're right on. I mean, our pipelines continue to stay relatively strong quarter-to-quarter even as we closed what was in the pipeline, we're seeing consistent new activity rolling into the pipeline for future periods. So we're very optimistic that, that trend will continue. I think a lot of that is just supported by just strong economics and the footprint we operate in. Our markets are continuing to do well. Our clients are continuing to do well. And so as we progress towards the end of the year in the first quarter, we still are seeing quite a bit of new opportunity requests coming through the different markets. It's very spread across our geography. We're not really concentrated in any particular segment of our footprint. All of our markets are seeing good strong activity. And then on the payoff side, to Billy's point, we had a little higher volume of that earlier in the year than we've seen in really the past quarter, might we have a few more coming in fourth quarter, it's always a possibility. We do have still a very robust real estate market in our footprint. So our clients are seeing opportunities to sell assets here and there. And so we do get payoffs from time to time primarily from asset sales by our client. But we still feel optimistic about these projections.
Russell Gunther: And then switching gears to the margin. Another really good result this quarter. You laid out an expectation for the NIM, I believe, of, call it, 3.10% to 3.15%. And I was just curious if that is a near term fourth quarter projection or does that extend into 2025? And with that, if you could just give us a sense of what your Fed cut projections are as well as how you'd expect the deposit beta to trend as rates reduce?
Billy Carroll: Ron, do you want to take that?
Ronald Gorczynski: Yes, our 3.10%, 3.14% margin is -- 3.15% margin is for fourth quarter. As we said last call, our trajectory is such that we're expecting margin expansion throughout 2025 with or without a rate cut. With that said, we're looking at our rates up beta. We probably were in the 45%, 50% range. Our goal, we’ll probably see the same on the downward side. Well, at this point, we're modeling near 40% beta on the way down. We're not giving 2025 guidance, there's still a lot of variables and bouncing items but we still feel very strong of our trajectory going forward.
Operator: Our next question is from Brett Rabatin with Hovde Group.
Brett Rabatin: I wanted to start on fee income. And just obviously, really good quarter on swaps and investment product this quarter. Any thoughts on just the strength of those two items in 3Q? And then obviously, with the guidance in the fourth quarter, were those kind of onetime nature transactions or just any thoughts on those businesses specifically going forward?
Billy Carroll: Brett, I'll start and then I'll hand it over to Ron, maybe talk a little bit about kind of the onetime versus continual. I think for us -- and we've talked about it on some prior calls, but from the investment side, I'll start there. The investment side has been really good. We continue to thoroughly add some talented financial advisers to our platform over the last couple of years and getting those folks kind of up on plan. We're seeing that consistency in our SmartBank investments group continue to grow. We're doing a nice job in cross selling that into our private banking pipeline now. So it's nice to see that AUM grow. And we've moved to a more of a fee-based versus transactional base in that business over the last couple of years. So I think we feel good about that continuing as long as market -- and market obviously has been good. So that doesn't hurt as well. But overall, on the investment side, we’re continuing to be bullish on, we think there's some consistency in that number as we move forward. I'll let Ron talk a little bit about swaps, he works primarily with the capital market. That one is a little more of a function of what rates and kind of what some of the curves are doing as to lengthening some of these terms to get some attractive fixed rates. But Ron, do you want to talk about that and maybe thoughts around that swap fee and what that might look like looking ahead.
Ronald Gorczynski: Right now, we did tame down our noninterest income projection. We did have an excellent third quarter. Swaps for Q3, we had a lot of opportunities due to our loan originations and the shape of the inverted yield curve led us to place more swaps. We won't be doing 1 million plus Q4. We do have a pipeline but not as strong as what we've seen in Q3. So other than that, we don't see any other opportunities at this point that will really lead to a higher noninterest income as what we've seen in Q3.
Brett Rabatin: And then just on deposits, can you guys maybe -- you talked about growing core deposits to replace some brokered CDs. Can you maybe just talk about initiatives on the deposit front and just if you've already lowered deposit rates, what you're seeing maybe competitively in some of your key markets?
Billy Carroll: Yes, I'll take that and guys anybody can chime in. Yes, I think what we've seen -- and we do -- we feel very good about our ability to grow deposits. As I commented earlier, we really had a nice core deposit growth quarter. It was masked a little bit by just some of the mix shift that we did. And so as we've really started working our teams, our sales teams are doing a nice job of bringing in both sides of the balance sheet. Obviously, we were in a position of strength at the beginning of the year with some -- a little bit of a stronger liquidity position. We've been able to leverage that a little bit in '24, so kind of looking ahead for us. We're going to continue to really try to balance it. We need to -- we want to grow the deposit side but we also want to do it conscious of where the rate environments are. So we're fortunately -- from a competitive standpoint, you're still seeing some one-offs and some outliers do some above market pricing. But for the most part, it feels like that a lot of that is settling down in some of the markets. So we've been able to push our rates down. I think we can continue to do that if Fed cuts continue. But from our standpoint, I think we're just going to really try to strike this right balance of getting the growth and doing it at the right rate levels. But Ron, any thoughts you've got around that, you're working on the deposit pricing of group's day-to-day.
Ronald Gorczynski: Yes, we think we're finishing up on the deposit promo now. We took the opportunity to lower some of our high tier deposits, and we didn't get much client pushback. Again, we are really still in market rates. Our reductions are roughly in line with Fed cuts and we haven't really got much pushback on that. And again, the momentum of the sales team on where deposits are coming from it's pretty positive.
Billy Carroll: And Brett, I'll add too. I think that's one of the things and we've been talking about it a lot as we're starting to do our forecasting for '25 is continue to focus on that and put more emphasis on that and are producing incentive plans and those things. So that's really -- we continue to feel very optimistic -- our team members, the bankers that we've hired understand selling both sides of the balance sheet. And I'm really pleased with how that's going and kind of what that outlook appears to be.
Operator: Our next question is from Steve Moss with Raymond James.
Steve Moss: Starting on loan pricing here. Just kind of curious, we've had a fair amount of volatility in the five year and obviously, expectations around more Fed rate cuts. Curious as to where you're seeing new loans priced today and any color you can give there?
Billy Carroll: I'll start and then guys, just any anecdotal color you can give. Obviously, with the cut we've seen a little bit of reduction in ongoing yields. Overall, we're doing a pretty good job of holding the right levels. I think, obviously, competition is going to impact that. The Fed cut had a little bit of an impact. So we're seeing especially the variable rates, pricing on spread, the variable numbers are coming down a little bit. But overall, we think we continue to hold reasonable levels. Ron, I don't know if you've got any color on kind of what you're seeing kind of going on here just in the last few weeks, but a little bit lower, I think, but overall, still pretty solid.
Ronald Gorczynski: Yes, as I referenced for the quarter, originations were in the 7.40 range. But for September, we're probably 10 basis points less. So we'll probably see that. I do believe for probably the remainder of the quarter, we should probably see above 7% range. So we'll see a little bit of decrease in rates, but not looking at much at this point in time.
Steve Moss: And then I guess my other question here, just curious, I know you guys talked a lot about building positive operating leverage and definitely seeing this quarter's results, you're showing momentum there. Just curious as we head towards 2025, if you're thinking of any investments, hiring additional talent, just kind of your thought process around expenses here?
Billy Carroll: Ron, I mean, we -- again, I don't think we're trying to -- we're currently working through our final forecasting and budgeting for '25. But really not a lot, Steve. I think for us, we've messaged that we're just kind of -- we're hunkered down to make sure that we can drive the growth. We'll have some just the overall cost of just inflation and contract increases and things along those lines, but we think that should be pretty minimal. I think the increases that we'll see going into '25 will be probably more on the talent side of the house, if anything. But I think overall, I think we can hold these expense lines in a pretty reasonable range as we look into '25, again, allowing the balance sheet time to kind of reset with rates, get this new production on, let some of the lower rate stuff that's on there roll off and amortize down. So when you look out -- when we look out in the latter part of '25 especially as you look -- we start to kind of glimpse into '26 now, we feel really good about where we can go with this operating leverage. I don't know, Ron, any additional color there?
Ronald Gorczynski: No, you said it all. We will produce -- I look at as a percent of expense to net revenue, we will be creating an operating leverage throughout '25 and going forward. So operationally, we're in great shape. So as you said, just our ability to execute.
Miller Welborn: Good quality bankers are always being recruited and welcome.
Billy Carroll: And I think that's a great point, Miller. I think Steve -- we are. I mean we're seeing, again -- we're selective, we're very selective in our recruit and we've always been that way and we're going to continue to be that way. But we're always looking for great opportunities to bring in folks that fit our culture. We've been able to find some of that this year. We act, to Miller's point, we think we can continue to do that as we go forward. So we're going to continue to invest in key talent…
Miller Welborn: Quality versus quantity…
Billy Carroll: And we've never been ones that go out and just add tons of people. But if we can find good folks we're going to look to add them. And we've been able to do that here over the last couple of quarters.
Operator: Our next question is from Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler.
Stephen Scouten: I guess, on the [indiscernible] side, just moving forward, you talked about a lot of any potential expense growth would come from new hires, which obviously should produce revenue as well. Is it fair to think about expense growth similar to the last couple of years, like 6%, 7% range. Again, I know you're not trying to give guidance. But is that just kind of a fair ballpark of what the franchise should trend towards over the long term?
Billy Carroll: Ron, do you want to kind of put your thoughts around that?
Ronald Gorczynski: Yes, exactly that. Probably 5% to 7%, that's a good goal, a good range for that.
Stephen Scouten: And then on the CRE concentration, I think if I was looking at that correctly, maybe up to 288%. Does that limit potential CRE growth from here at all or does it make you push into other verticals more so than you would have up to this point? Just curious if that's a headwind at all to future growth.
Billy Carroll: We've taken the advantage to add some good real estate loans to the portfolio over the last couple of quarters and we see that. I'll let Rhett give some color there, Stephen. But yes, overall, I don't view it as a headwind. Obviously, when we're doing that and we have we're going to continue to do it. We want to make sure that it's not transactional real estate that it's full relationship type of CRE lending, which we've been able to do and, again, making sure it's priced [accordingly]. But Rhett, do you want to give any color kind of on CRE growth? I think we anticipate having a little bit more of that and we see a little bit in the pipeline. Do you want to give any feedback?
Rhett Jordan: Yes, I would say that we probably will see the metric tick up a little from where it is here today. And we do certainly focus to manage that within the Fed guidance, that's always been a target of ours. And some of the growth is just the timing of different projects. We do have -- we have some projects that we'll be completing funding and then either paying off as they sell it down or eventually transition out. So we are, I would say, maybe a little bit of back-filling there, knowing some of the projects that will transition out of the buckets in the near term. But I do think we'll still continue to see activity. The other upside there is because of the opportunities that we're seeing in space, it also adds to our ability to continue to be very staunch in our credit standards. I mean we're picking the best apples on the trees, so to speak, on the opportunities we're funding. So we feel very good about what we are putting…
Stephen Scouten: And then just last thing for me. I know we've talked about in the past and past calls, trying to reach towards a $50 million operating number for 3Q '25 in that range. Given the current environment, maybe where the Fed has moved, do you think there's any sort of timing impediment to getting to that number or do you still think that's an achievable path forward in the medium term?
Billy Carroll: Yes, I definitely think so. I think as we forecast, obviously, rates -- if rates stay -- rates don't move down at all then it might be -- might put a little bit of a headwind there. But really, no, that $50 million revenue number that we kind of said publicly is something we're still shooting for, for the end of next year and then on a quarterly run rate basis, and still felt very good about that. I mean, obviously, we've got to continue to execute on leveraging this balance sheet and growing loans, growing deposits. But yes -- no, I don't think there's anything that we're seeing right now that causes us to want to change the target dates on that.
Operator: Our next question is from Christopher Marinac with Janney Montgomery Scott.
Christopher Marinac: I wanted to get into, kind of, the net customer gains you've had this year because it clearly seems that you're picking up market share if you look cumulatively over the last three, four quarters. And just kind of curious on how you see that and kind of how that can evolve the next year?
Billy Carroll: Yes, it's a great comment, Chris. And yes, we are. I think we're continuing to gain share in really all these zones. And a lot of it -- and I commented on it, it's just the sales side that we've really worked hard, the process that we put in place over the course of this year is really starting to take shape. So we're going out and we're looking at every one of our markets, every one of our regions. We're identifying the clients that we want to go target. Now some of those sales cycles are longer. So yes, I mean we're working really hard on clients that we don't have in the pipeline today but we feel very good about the ability to get them in the pipeline in '25. And so I think you will continue to see our markets gain share and grow again. And Rhett alluded to this, I think it's really an important point too and it's not just their new stuff. We've got a lot of newer markets that we've added over the last couple of years and made some big investments in those markets. And those markets are really performing extremely well but our legacy markets are also continuing to perform well. And I think just as we're continuing to build this franchise, build our brand in these markets, especially with the size that we are now, I think we can operate from a position of strength in a number of these situations. And it's really been good for us and I do think we can continue to gain share.
Ronald Gorczynski: Christopher, I appreciate you mentioned that and calling that out, because we have done a good job of client acquisition, and working on clients on the sales side gets a lot of credit. But I want to give a thank you to the op side, because the sales side couldn't do what they do with the scale they do with that op support and supporting them tremendously. But it's a great team effort for sure.
Christopher Marinac: And just a follow-up about the hurricane last month or in late September. What can you see from your Eastern franchise, what type of influx of new business and insurance proceeds can that have? And do you see that being a slight benefit in the future?
Billy Carroll: Yes, just a devastating situation in a number of our Upper East Tennessee counties. We don't have offices in a number of those but we've got clients in a number of those. And so we're kind of seeing a little bit more of the impacts on the periphery. So from our standpoint, we don't anticipate any direct impact. I thought we actually had probably a little bit of direct impact, Rhett, I know we had some payments that got delayed in it. One of the reasons we had a small tick up in some past dues, because payments were delayed with -- over the -- because of the issues over quarter end. But I think for us, I think a lot of it is just going to be just trying to figure out how to support some of those efforts up there. I was talking with -- yesterday, I was talking with a foundation, that's a client of ours, it's doing a lot of work up in that area. They've been very public about their fundraising efforts and they put together some great fundraising partners over the last few weeks. And so a lot of us is just going to be just trying to help facilitate some of that. So from our standpoint, from a balance sheet standpoint, probably just a little bit of near term deposit growth with some of that funding. But fortunately, that money should be going right back out and helping these folks in need.
Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Catherine Mealor with KBW.
Catherine Mealor: I want to ask just a follow-up on the margin. You have great -- your repricing schedule slide is really helpful. And so feel like we can model the loan yields. On the deposit cost, I really appreciate your -- just kind of forward look into the cumulative beta being about 40% over the cycle. But any kind of near term commentary you can give us on deposit costs, maybe where spot rates were at the end of the quarter and what you're seeing in specific kind of deposit categories with the first 50 that move?
Billy Carroll: Ron, do you want to jump in on what we saw during that first cut and maybe some spot rate color.
Ronald Gorczynski: We've managed to being -- let's take a step back. Our deposits are -- 24% of our deposit base is indexed to an indice. The remaining another 14% is kind of an internal indice. So we have about 40% of our deposits that will move with the rate movements and we're able to achieve that without -- we didn't get really any pushback on that whatsoever. We expect to continue that as we go forward. Again, a lot of this is market driven, Catherine, and we have to pay attention to our competitors and how they are pricing. But right now, we expect to apply the same methodology going forward and just manage and monitor our customer accounts, making sure the outflows aren't leaving because of rate. Other than that, I think we're in a good shape going forward with our -- if there are rate cuts to keep our deposit portfolio steady.
Billy Carroll: Spot rate guide there, spot rate thoughts at the end of September…
Ronald Gorczynski: Our new production for September was 3.81% but that did include broker deposits. So it's -- it was 3.81% without brokered deposits, so I think as we ramp some promos near the end of September from the relationship exit. So I don't have any spot rate going forward but we are seeing the deposit rates going down accordingly.
Catherine Mealor: And just given the amount you have indexed, would it be fair to model that 40% beta to show up pretty quickly or how much of a lag do you feel like is in that?
Ronald Gorczynski: No, we will show pretty quick on that, they will not be alive with that 40%.
Operator: Thank you very much. That ends our Q&A session. We do not have any more questions, so I will hand back to Miller for any closing remarks.
Miller Welborn: Thanks, Ezra. We appreciate each of you, investors, analysts and associates, for your continued support. We look forward to finishing '24 strong. And feel free to reach out to any of us if you have any further questions or comments. Have a great day.
Operator: Thank you very much, Miller. And thank you, everyone, for joining. That concludes today's call. You may now disconnect your lines.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.