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Fitch Maintains HSBC Bank Canada's Long-Term IDR on Rating Watch Negative

Published 2019-06-07, 06:08 p/m
© Reuters.  Fitch Maintains HSBC Bank Canada's Long-Term IDR on Rating Watch Negative
HSBA
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Fitch Ratings-Toronto-June 07:

Fitch Ratings maintains HSBC Bank Canada's (HBCA) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) on Rating Watch Negative.

Fitch has also affirmed the banks' other ratings. A complete list of rating actions follows at the end of this release.

The ratings remain on Rating Watch Negative where they were originally placed on March 6, 2019 following similar action on ultimate parent company, HSBC Holdings (LON:HSBA) plc (HSBC). This rating action follows Fitch's rating action on HSBC.

HBCA's Long- and Short-Term IDRs are linked to those of HSBC.

For additional information, please see the press release "Fitch Affirms HSBC's VR at 'aa-'; Long-Term IDR Remains on RWN", dated June 6, 2019.

KEY RATING DRIVERS IDRS AND SENIOR DEBT

HBCA's Long- and Short-term Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) are equalized with HSBC's Long- and Short-Term IDR at 'AA-/F1+', reflecting Fitch's strong view of institutional support, both in terms of propensity and ability should the need arise. HBCA's IDRs benefit from the "higher of" its supported ratings relative to its VR of 'a+'.

SUPPORT RATING

HBCA's Support Rating of '1' reflects Fitch's opinion that the company is a core operating entity of the HSBC Group, and as such, believes institutional support from its ultimate parent is highly likely. HSBC publicly designates Canada as a priority market for the group. Canada's geographical location facilitates significant international trade volume both in the NAFTA corridor as well as with China. Fitch believes this feature closely aligns with HSBC's group-wide strategy, which is focused on international connectivity across major trade routes as it looks to serve its customers globally. HBCA shares the group HSBC brand.

In Fitch's opinion, a default by HBCA would pose significant reputational risk to HSBC and would likely be damaging to the group franchise. This further strengthens our positive view of HSBC's propensity to provide both ordinary and extraordinary support to HBCA should the need arise. While HBCA is a strong performer from an earnings standpoint and mostly self-funded, HBCA benefits from operational integration with HSBC. Fitch views this integration as a significant driver of HBCA's domestic franchise value in Canada and therefore this feature somewhat diminishes the value of the franchise outside of the HSBC group. In turn, we believe this reduces the potential for a divestment of HBCA by HSBC.

Fitch believes HBCA is also an important source of outbound revenue generation for the group. The significant presence of multinationals and global-minded individuals in Canada with international banking needs is a feature that further strengthens the importance of this market to HSBC. Finally, HBCA's total assets make up only approximately 6% of HSBC's total assets, and therefore Fitch considers HSBC's ability to support HBCA to be high.

VIABILITY RATING (VR)

Since assigning the VR in March 2018, HBCA has performed in line with our expectations. HBCA's 'a+' VR reflects its established franchise, experienced management team and solid funding and liquidity. Somewhat offsetting these strengths is HBCA's relatively large exposure to commercial lending when compared to its Canadian banking peers that results in a higher overall asset density. This higher commercial lending exposure was also the driver of greater earnings variability and asset quality performance.

Fitch believes HBCA has a competitive advantage in its growing customer segment comprising individuals with cross-border banking needs and multinational companies domiciled in Canada. HSBC has the largest Canadian presence of the international banks and we believe the bank's international reach and breadth of offerings surpasses the large domestic banks, making it a strong competitor in this niche. Among the foreign banks and foreign bank branches operating in Canada, HBCA has a dominant market position with 48% share of total deposits as per data from OSFI.

Fitch views HBCA's revenue diversity as a ratings strength, with around 57% of total revenues being derived from net interest income. Relative to domestic banking peers, HBCA has relatively low exposure to more volatile capital markets revenue, accounting for only 15% of total revenues. The bank's wholesale loan portfolio is also geographically diversified with its largest exposures to Ontario (33%) and its home province of British Columbia (32%). HBCA's asset quality has historically been weaker than its peers, but has improved over the last year.

Fitch attributes the bank's historically higher relative impairments to the bank's higher proportion of commercial lending exposure that is not sheltered to the same extent as insured and low-LTV uninsured residential mortgages that dominate the loan portfolios of the domestic banks. HBCA has managed down its total drawn energy exposure to approximately 40% of common equity tier 1 (CET 1) capital as of Q1 2019, down from 68% for Q4 2016.

Fitch also views HBCA's significant exposure to the Vancouver commercial real estate development cautiously given significant property price appreciation experienced in that market and more recent pricing pressures. Approximately 90% of HBCA's residential mortgage portfolio is composed of uninsured mortgages as of Q1 2019. This is high compared to domestic banks, which typically run in the 40%-50% range. Fitch however believes these mortgages are prudently underwritten at comparatively low LTVs.

HBCA has reported significant asset quality improvement over the last year, as the bank has successfully weathered challenging economic conditions associated with weak commodity and energy prices. At Q1 2019, gross impaired loans (GILs) to gross loans stood at 0.42% compared to 1.41% at the end of 2016. This improvement did not come at the expense of elevated charge-offs and is similar to those of its domestic banking peers. With a Fitch Core Capital (FCC) ratio of 11.6% as of Q1 2019, Fitch views the bank's level of capital as commensurate with its risk appetite and supports the assigned rating level.

Moreover, HBCA's ownership structure affords it more flexibility with respect to dividends and distributions to its shareholder, which Fitch considers a relative rating strength. Finally, HBCA maintains a strong funding profile that is less reliant on wholesale funding than its peers and is a rating strength. With a loan/deposit ratio of 94.8% and a liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) of 138% as of Q1 2019, HBCA has one of the strongest liquidity profiles in Canada.

SUBORDINATED DEBT

HBCA's subordinated debt is rated one notch down from its IDR, at 'A+'. While hybrid securities are typically notched from the bank's VR, Fitch believes that the high level of institutional support from HSBC will neutralize the non-performance risk of HBCA's subordinated debt. Therefore, the subordinated debt rating is notched once from HBCA's IDR, with the notching reflecting only relative loss severity.

RATING SENSITIVITIES IDRS AND SENIOR DEBT

HBCA's Long- and Short-Term IDRs are linked to HSBC's IDRs. As such, the IDRs will likely be affected by any changes to the ratings of HSBC itself. HSBC's Long-Term IDR is primarily sensitive to the outcome of the Brexit negotiations. The Rating Watch Negative on the Long-Term IDRs reflects the heightened probability that Fitch will revise the Outlook on HSBC's Long-Term IDRs to Negative in the event of a disruptive 'no-deal' Brexit.

The Negative Outlook would reflect risks to HSBC's ability to implement the group's strategy in a more difficult operating environment, and likely pressure on earnings, asset quality and funding profiles, which could put pressure on ratings if these negative trends continue for an extended period of time. In addition and as discussed below, any changes to our view of support could also prompt a review of the ratings.

SUPPORT RATING

HBCA's Support Ratings reflect Fitch's views on the ability and propensity of HSBC to support HBCA in a time of need. Although not currently anticipated, any changes to HBCA's strategic importance indicated, for example, in ownership, level of integration, or their role under HSBC would prompt a review of the ratings. VR Fitch views HBCA's IDRs as solidly situated over the Outlook horizon.

Over time, should HBCA diversify the business into a more balanced mix of retail and commercial exposure, all while maintaining good asset quality, positive ratings momentum may develop. HBCA's borrowing base is somewhat reliant on trade activity in the NAFTA region. Adverse changes to the agreement such that it triggers financial distress for HBCA's borrowers may prompt a review of the ratings. HBCA also has significant exposure to the Vancouver housing market, both in its CRE portfolio and in its residential mortgage portfolio. Accordingly, Fitch views HBCA's VR as being vulnerable to deterioration in local economic conditions, the financial health of the Vancouver consumer and the Vancouver housing market. Fitch would review the ratings should any of the aforementioned scenarios materialize. In addition, given the Financial Action Task Force's identified weaknesses in Canada's anti-money laundering / anti-terrorism financing (AML/ATF) regime, noting that it lacks disclosure requirements critical to ensuring financial institutions' timely and accurate access to customer information, ratings would be sensitive to material and systemic conduct risk findings, particularly as they relate to AML/ATF or sanctions compliance. While this is not currently expected, material findings that suggest broad-based weaknesses or failings in the risk management infrastructure could pressure HBCA's ratings.

SUBORDINATED DEBT

HBCAs subordinated debt ratings are notched off its IDR. Accordingly, the ratings are sensitive to changes in HBCA's IDR as well as any change in Fitch's view of support. Fitch maintains the following ratings on Rating Watch Negative: HSBC Bank Canada

--Long-term IDR 'AA-' Fitch affirms the following ratings: HSBC Bank Canada --Short-term IDR 'F1+';

--Viability Rating 'a+'; --Support Rating '1';

--Senior debt 'AA-'; --Subordinated debt 'A+'.

Contact: Primary Analyst Foster Cheng Director +1-416-644-1572 Fitch Ratings, Inc. 120 Adelaide St. West, Suite 2500 Toronto, Ontario M5H 1T1 Secondary Analyst Johannes Moller Director +1-646-582-4954 Committee Chairperson Christopher Wolfe Managing Director +1-212-908-0771 Media Relations: Hannah James, New York, Tel: +1 646 582 4947, Email: hannah.james@thefitchgroup.com; Sandro Scenga, New York, Tel: +1 212 908 0278, Email: sandro.scenga@thefitchgroup.com. Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com Applicable Criteria Bank Rating Criteria (pub. 12 Oct 2018) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10044408 Short-Term Ratings Criteria (pub. 02 May 2019) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10073011 Additional Disclosures Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form https://www.fitchratings.com/site/dodd-frank-disclosure/10078420 Solicitation Status https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/10078420#solicitation Endorsement Policy https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory

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