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Fitch: MIE Eases Funding Strain; Sector Headwinds Persist

Published 2015-11-12, 09:13 p/m
© Reuters.  Fitch: MIE Eases Funding Strain; Sector Headwinds Persist


(The following statement was released by the rating agency)

HONG KONG, November 12 (Fitch) The introduction of a JV partner by China's MIE
Holdings Corporation (MIE) will reduce the immediate negative credit impact from
funding its acquisition of Canada's Long Run Exploration Ltd (Long Run), says
Fitch Ratings. Nonetheless, sustained weak oil prices continue to pressure MIE's
'B' ratings.

Fitch placed MIE on Rating Watch Negative on 6 August 2015 following the
announcement of its acquisition of a 49.3% stake in Long Run, an upstream oil &
gas company. MIE was exploring various options to fund the CAD201.5m upfront
payment, plus another CAD99.2m for attached warrants.

MIE announced a JV arrangement for the acquisition on 11 November 2015, and a
revision of the acquisition terms. Fitch believes the new arrangement and terms
have substantially reduced MIE's up-front funding needs and potential near-term
pressure on its financial profile.

A 60% JV partner would co-invest with MIE for a 38.7% stake in Long Run. The
total acquisition consideration is reduced to CAD100m. Another CAD100m is
payable, should MIE and its JV partner decide to exercise the 12-month warrants
in full to raise their stake to 52.15%. The transaction is likely to complete by
30 January 2016, later than the company's previous expectation of end-November
2015.

MIE's immediate funding needs would be reduced significantly. To complete the
transaction, MIE needs to pay HKD232.8m for its 40% share in the stake in Long
Run to be acquired. Another payment of about HKD230m is needed if the warrants
are exercised. Under the original transaction terms, the acquisition
consideration would be equivalent to a much higher HKD1.2bn, with another
CAD99.2m payment (equivalent to about HKD590m) if the warrants are exercised.

Fitch does not expect MIE's net debt to increase substantially from its June
2015 position, at HKD4bn, as a direct result of the acquisition with the revised
funding structure. MIE's other near-term funding requirement is to retire a
maturing USD35m bank facility (equivalent to about HKD273m) before end-November
2015. MIE raised net proceeds of HKD245m from issuing equity in October 2015.
Including these proceeds, it has unrestricted cash of around HKD650m. MIE also
has an undrawn revolving facility of CNY498m, which will mature in December
2015, and the company states that it has commenced the renewal process.

The new transaction structure is favourable for MIE's near-term liquidity
position, while MIE has an option upon completion of the acquisition (at its
discretion) to increase its stake in the JV from 40% to 76% between the seventh
and 30th month after the transaction closes. In addition, its JV partner has an
option, during the 36th month after completion, to put back its entire
investment amount to MIE at a price which would deliver the JV partner a 13%
return per annum, which would be close to the final maturity of MIE's USD500m
2019 bonds.

Fitch will resolve the Negative Rating Watch after the transaction is
consummated. We will take into consideration the final funding structure for the
acquisition, and the operating and liquidity situation at Long Run - including
its ability to reduce debt and maintain adequate debt facilities to sustain its
operations without support from its owners, including MIE. The low-oil-price
environment means that we expect no substantial dividends from Long Run to its
shareholders in the next 12-24 months.

MIE's financial profile continues to be affected by low oil prices. Fitch
revised down its 2016 oil price assumption on 9 November 2015, reflecting the
near-term pressure on oil prices and the agency's view that the market is
unlikely to reach an equilibrium until 2H16 at the earliest. Without Long Run,
we expect MIE's credit metrics to remain stretched in 2015-2016, with FFO net
leverage at 6.5-7.5x and FFO gross interest coverage at around 2x (negative
rating guidelines: above 3x and below 4.5x, respectively, on a sustained basis),
indicating pressure on MIE's 'B' ratings.

Contact:

Renee Lam

Director

+852 2263 9971

Fitch (Hong Kong) Limited

19/F, Man Yee Building

68 Des Voeux Road, Hong Kong

Edwin Lam

Director

+852 2263 9975

Media Relations: Leslie Tan, Singapore, Tel: +65 67 96 7234, Email:
leslie.tan@fitchratings.com; Wai-Lun Wan, Hong Kong, Tel: +852 2263 9935, Email:
wailun.wan@fitchratings.com.

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com

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DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S
PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND
METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF
CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE
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