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Asia stocks edge up cautiously as Fed jitters build, Europe seen lower

Published 2019-06-18, 02:44 a/m
© Reuters.  Asia stocks edge up cautiously as Fed jitters build, Europe seen lower
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* Asian markets edge up, European futures point to mixed open

* Stocks kept in range before Fed's 2-day policy meeting

* Oil extends fall, growth woes outweigh Middle East concerns

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Shinichi Saoshiro and Noah Sin

TOKYO/HONG KONG, June 18 (Reuters) - Most Asian stock markets rose on Tuesday but gains were capped by investor caution ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve policy decision, while crude oil prices dipped as global growth worries overshadowed supply concerns.

European stock markets were set to open mixed, with futures for London's FTSE FFIc1 trading flat but those for Germany's DAX FDXc1 and the pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures STXEc1 down 0.2%.

In Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS edged up 0.6%, while Japan's Nikkei .N225 dipped 0.7%.

The Shanghai Composite Index .SSEC flitted in and out of positive territory and was last seen up 0.1%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI rose over 1% and Korea's KOSPI .KS11 climbed 0.4%.

Australian shares .AXJO closed up 0.6 percent at their highest in more than 11 years as an indication of more policy easing by the country's central bank triggered strong buying.

The Fed, facing fresh demands by U.S. President Donald Trump to cut interest rates, begins a two-day meeting later on Tuesday. The central bank is expected to leave borrowing costs unchanged this time but possibly lay the groundwork for a rate cut later this year. FED/DIARY

Hopes for looser U.S. monetary policy have been a tonic for riskier assets, which were buffeted last month by an escalation in the trade conflict between Washington and Beijing. The S&P 500 .SPX has gained 5% this month after sliding in May.

"In just a few months, the market has turned from being guided by the Fed to actively guiding the Fed," wrote interest rate strategists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC).

Markets are almost fully pricing in a 25-basis-point rate cut for July. FEDWATCH

"The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting is the week's biggest event so there will be a degree of caution prevailing in the markets," said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management.

"Expectations for a rate cut in July have increased significantly, so the markets could experience disappointment if the Fed does not send strong signals of impending easing."

César Pérez Ruiz, chief investment officer at Pictet Wealth Management, said in a note on Tuesday "if market expectations for cuts are not met, we could see a jump in market volatility."

U.S. Treasury yields dipped on Monday after the New York Fed's "Empire" gauge of business growth in the state showed a fall this month to its weakest in more than 2-1/2-years, fanning rate cut expectations. dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major currencies eased 0.1% to 97.42 after pulling back from a two-week high on the decline in Treasury yields.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 fell to a fresh five-month low of $0.6830 after minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia's June meeting showed policymakers thought it may have to ease again to push down unemployment and revive wages and inflation. central bank cut rates to a record low of 1.25% earlier this month to support the slowing economy.

Earlier, the pound GBP=D4 extended an overnight slump and brushed $1.2512, its lowest since Jan. 3. Concerns that arch-Brexiteer Boris Johnson will replace Theresa May as prime minister have dogged sterling. GBP/

The euro EUR= was a shade higher at $1.1230 after spending the previous day confined to a narrow range.

U.S. crude oil futures CLc1 slipped 0.3% to $51.77 per barrel after retreating 1.1% the previous day. Brent crude LCOc1 was down a similar amount at $60.76, following Monday's loss of 1.7%.

Oil prices had fallen on Monday as weak Chinese economic data last week led to fears of lower global demand for the commodity. O/R

Concerns over weakening demand overshadowed tensions in the Middle East, which remained high following last week's attacks on two oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Wall Street asks when, not if, the Fed will cut rates

https://tmsnrt.rs/2IpbACq

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Editing by Sam Holmes and Kim Coghill)

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