Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

GLOBAL MARKETS-Euro falls and Italian bond yields jump after ministers agree budget

Published 2018-09-28, 04:40 a/m
GLOBAL MARKETS-Euro falls and Italian bond yields jump after ministers agree budget

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2018 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON, Sept 28 (Reuters) - The euro fell on Friday to its lowest in nearly two weeks while Italy's bond yields hit their highest in three after the government agreed to set a higher than expected budget deficit target that could put Rome on a collision course with Brussels.

The Italian government on Thursday targeted a budget deficit of 2.4 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) for the next three years, marking a victory for party chiefs over economy minister Giovanni Tria, an unaffiliated technocrat deficit, though within the prescribed EU limit of 3 percent of GDP, is a concern for investors who fear the country's anti-establishment government is not committed to tackling its huge debt load. Italy's debt-to-GDP ratio stands at about 130 percent, the highest in the euro zone behind Greece.

European shares opened lower, with shares in Italian banks - whose big sovereign bond portfolios make them sensitive to political risk - bearing the brunt of selling pressure. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was down 0.3 percent by 0743 GMT. .EU

Italy's FTSE MIB .FTSEMIB fell 1.9 percent, while Germany's DAX .GDAXI dipped by 0.4 percent.

Italy's two-year bond yields - the most sensitive to political noise in recent months -- were up 31 basis points in early trade at 1.09 percent IT2YT=RR .

Other Italian yields were also higher on the day, with five-year yields rising 26 bps to 2.16 percent and benchmark 10-year yields up 17 bps at 3.08 percent. GVD/EUR

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The euro fell to an 11-day low of $1.1615 EUR=EBS after suffering its worst one-day decline in seven weeks on Thursday.

"The 2.4 percent target is not consistent with an improvement in the structural budget balance and hence they seem to be on a collision course with Brussels," said ING strategist Martin van Vliet.

"For me the key issue is what they assume on the budget beyond 2019. They are seemingly leaving the path of fiscal consolidation and that may not sit well with ratings agencies."

The falls in European shares left MSCI's All-Country World Index .MIWD00000PUS down 0.1 percent and set for its firstly weekly loss since early September.

In Asia earlier, Japan's Nikkei raced to a 27-year high on the back of a lower yen and improved prospects for corporate earnings.

Japan's Nikkei stock index .N225 rose as high as 24,286.10 points, its strongest since November 1991, on renewed optimism over the global economy and hopes of a boost to exporters' earnings from a weaker yen. It was last up 1.5 percent.

Shares in China were higher ahead of a week-long national holiday. Blue-chips stocks .CSI300 gained 0.8 percent and the country's main Shanghai Composite index .SSEC was up 0.7 percent.

Elsewhere in Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was little changed, with a 0.05 percent decline.

Australian shares .AXJO rose 0.4 percent, while Seoul's Kospi .KS11 gave up 0.5 percent after hitting three-month highs on Thursday.

S&P E-mini futures ESc1 crept lower on Friday, down 0.1 percent after gains on Wall Street overnight. .N

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

KING DOLLAR

The dollar index .DXY , which tracks the U.S. currency against a basket of six major rivals, was up 0.2 percent at 95.086 on Friday. It hit its highest in more than two weeks on Thursday. FRX/

After the Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Wednesday - the third increase this year - Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the United States does not face a large chance of a recession in the next two years and the central bank plans to keep raising rates gradually. Citi analysts cautioned that not all data was reassuring.

"The Citi US Economic Surprise Index has been pushed into negative territory by disappointing housing data in the United States," they wrote.

"The latest data confirms that the housing market continues to be less than ideal. Pending home sales, a leading indicator, declined to the lowest level in seven months."

U.S. Treasury yields ticked lower. The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR was at 3.0500 percent on Friday, against Thursday's U.S. close of 3.055 percent.

The two-year yield US2YT=RR , closely tied to expectations of higher Fed fund rates, touched 2.8310 percent, compared with a U.S. close of 2.835 percent.

U.S. crude oil CLc1 gained 0.3 percent to $72.35 a barrel and Brent crude LCOc1 was up 0.3 percent at $81.95.

Gold advanced slightly after tumbling 1 percent on Thursday on strength in the U.S. dollar, which made bullion more expensive for buyers using other currencies.

Spot gold XAU= was up 0.14 percent at $1,184.05 an ounce. GOL/

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Where next for Italy's debt levels?

https://reut.rs/2KmGDwe

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.