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GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares rally ahead of U.S. election, dollar steady

Published 2020-11-03, 12:57 a/m
© Reuters.
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* Graphic: 2020 asset performance http://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* MSCI Asia-exJapan index holds onto gains, up 1.2%

* European stock futures indicate strong market open

By Anshuman Daga

SINGAPORE, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Asian equity markets rallied on Tuesday, with investors buoyed by strong factory output data from major economies, while the dollar and gold were little changed ahead of U.S. elections.

Elsewhere, S&P 500 futures ESc1 rose 0.5%, EUROSTOXX 50 futures STXEc1 put on 0.8% and FTSE futures FFIc1 gained 0.9%, indicating a strong market open, even though many market participants expect short-term volatility, especially after a jittery week.

President Donald Trump and Democratic rival Joe Biden made a last-ditch push for votes in battleground states on Monday as their campaigns prepared for post-election legal disputes that could delay a clear outcome. all hate uncertainties. We all want to see risk sentiment improved. So we all hope for a clear, uncontested winner in the presidential election," said Song Seng Wun, an economist at CIMB Private Banking.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS added 1.2%, up for the second straight session. The gauge is just 1% shy of a 2-1/2 year high struck in mid-October and up 5% so far this year.

Strategists at Blackrock (NYSE:BLK) Investment Institute said polls were suggesting a greater likelihood of a Democratic sweep in the election.

"We are starting to incorporate themes we believe would outperform in that event, moving toward a more pro-risk stance overall despite last week's market pullback," the strategists said in a report.

South Korea's main index .KSII advanced 1.7%, Hong Kong's index .HSI sprinted 2.2% higher and Chinese blue chips .CSI300 were 0.8% higher. Japanese markets were closed for a holiday.

"We are upgrading Asia ex-Japan equities and Asia fixed income to overweight, as China and other Asian economies have done a better job of containing COVID–19 and are further ahead in the economic restart," BlackRock Investment Institute said. "We expect this dynamic to continue over the months ahead."

Data showed economic activity was improving across the board.

U.S. manufacturing activity accelerated more than expected in October, with new orders jumping to their highest in nearly 17 years, while Chinese factory activity expanded the fastest in a decade and euro zone manufacturing also sped up. said the prospect of no immediate winner in the presidential race was the biggest drag on markets. Trump trails Biden in national opinion polls, but polls in the swing states that will decide the election show a closer race.

"Control of the Senate is crucial for any 'blue wave' scenario to materialise, otherwise divided government continues and fiscal stimulus expectations will need to be scaled back," said Alvin Tan, Asia forex strategist at RBC Capital Markets.

The U.S. dollar hovered just below a one-month high. Against a basket of currencies =USD it held at 93.996. The safe-harbour yen JPY= was steady at 104.72 yen per dollar. FRX/

The Aussie AUD=D3 fell 0.2% and Australia's ASX 200 .AXJO ended 2% higher as the country's central bank trimmed interest rates to near zero and expanded its bond-buying programme, as expected. prices steadied after two weeks of weakness, with Brent futures LCOc1 down 0.2% to $38.89 a barrel, but hanging on to most of an overnight bounce. O/R

Still, the uncertainty of the U.S. election and a resurgence in COVID-19 cases in Europe and the United States underpinned the dollar and gold prices, as some investors sought safety.

Gold XAU= eased 0.1% to $1,892.5 an ounce, while the dollar index =USD held ground at 94.027.

Investors are bracing for an eventful week with central bank meetings by the Federal Reserve and Bank of England, as well as the release of U.S. jobs data for October.

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