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Shopify shares overvalued despite “attractive” trajectory – broker

Published 2024-02-14, 01:30 p/m
© Reuters.  Shopify shares overvalued despite “attractive” trajectory – broker

Proactive Investors - Shopify Inc (TSX:SHOP) shares have little room to grow due to its premium valuation, despite having an “attractive growth trajectory”, analysts reckon.

Analysts believe the e-commerce platform, which reported higher-than-expected earnings on Tuesday, is well-positioned to undertake intermediate growth even if valuations are high.

Wedbush believes through Shopify signing on new merchants, deepening its payment penetration, and growing in unpenetrated channels, it is well-positioned to execute its overall strategy and remain a “secular market share winner”.

However, experts are unable to ignore that shares trade at a 52x premium to Wedbush’s 2025 underlying earnings estimate, putting it at a significant premium to other software rivals.

“While Shopify's growth trajectory is attractive, we are cautious as shares trade at a material premium relative to software peers despite the company's structurally lower margin profile,” said Wedbush.

A ‘neutral’ rating has been placed on Shopify by the LA bank and although its price target has been upped from US$68 to US$75, it still represents a discount to the current US$79 market price.

On Tuesday, management at Shopify warned that operating expenses would increase at a low-teens rate, higher than the 1.4% jump analysts had expected.

Therefore, Wedbush believes adjusted operating income will come in lower than prior estimates and consensus.

Shares in Shopify are up around 3% on Wednesday.

Read more on Proactive Investors CA

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