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SMCI shares tumble 12% on Q4 margin miss; BofA downgrades to Neutral

Published 2024-08-06, 05:08 p/m
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SMCI
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Investing.com -- Super Micro delivered Tuesday upbeat revenue guidance for the current quarter while Q4 earnings missed estimates and the data center company announced a stock split as it looks to capitalize on growing demand for artificial intelligence hardware used to power AI applications.

SMCI also reported worse-than-expected gross margins for the fourth quarter, sending its shares tumbling around 12% in premarket trading Wednesday. 

The company announced a 10-for-1 forward split of its common stock, expected to start trading on Oct. 1.

For fiscal Q1, non-GAAP net income per diluted share was estimated in a range of $6.69 to $8.27 on sales of $6.0 billion to $7.0 billion, compared with Wall Street estimates for $7.58 on revenue of $5.45B, respectively. 

The better-than-expected guidance follows earnings that fell short of analyst estimates in Q4.

For the quarter ended Jun. 30, the company, which counts Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) among its customers for servers, reported adjusted earnings of $6.25 share on sales of $5.31 billion  Analysts polled by Investing.com had expected earnings of $8.1 a share on sales of $5.31 billion.

SMCI's gross margin (GM) for the quarter stood at 11.3%, marking a multi-year low, and was notably below the analyst estimates of 14.7%. However, the company reiterated its long-term gross margin goal of 14-17%, implying a strong ramp in the second half of the year. 

Looking ahead to fiscal year 2025, the company guided net sales between $26.0B and $30.0B, compared with estimates for $33.54B.

"Supermicro continues to experience record demand of new AI infrastructures," the company said.

Following the report, KeyBanc Capital Markets analysts reiterated a Sector Weight rating on the stock "with shares trading in the after hours at ~20x our increased CY24 EPS, which is a premium to the low double-digit GM% cohort of mid-teens."

"We feel this premium encompasses the Company’s dynamic growth and dominant industry position in building out AI infrastructure," they added.

Separately, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral citing anticipated margin pressures.

"While the l-t benefit from AI remains intact, we move to a Neutral rating, from Buy, as we see the next several quarters remaining margin challenged as SMCI navigates a competitive pricing environment, delayed shipment of Blackwell GPU systems that require liquid cooled racks (higher margin), and on-going issues with component availability," they said. 

The Bank also cut its price target on SMCI shares to $700 from $1,090

Yasin Ebrahim contributed to this report. 

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