Stock Story -
Upscale restaurant company The One Group Hospitality (NASDAQ:STKS) fell short of analysts' expectations in Q2 CY2024, with revenue up 107% year on year to $172.5 million. The company's full-year revenue guidance of $720 million at the midpoint also came in slightly below analysts' estimates. It made a non-GAAP profit of $0.08 per share, improving from its profit of $0.06 per share in the same quarter last year.
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The ONE Group (STKS) Q2 CY2024 Highlights:
- Revenue: $172.5 million vs analyst estimates of $178.3 million (3.3% miss)
- EPS (non-GAAP): $0.08 vs analyst estimates of $0.07 (20% beat)
- The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $720 million at the midpoint
- Gross Margin (GAAP): 19.4%, up from 18.5% in the same quarter last year
- Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 13.8%, up from 10.2% in the same quarter last year
- Same-Store Sales fell 7% year on year (-4.7% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $131.9 million
Sit-Down DiningSit-down restaurants offer a complete dining experience with table service. These establishments span various cuisines and are renowned for their warm hospitality and welcoming ambiance, making them perfect for family gatherings, special occasions, or simply unwinding. Their extensive menus range from appetizers to indulgent desserts and wines and cocktails. This space is extremely fragmented and competition includes everything from publicly-traded companies owning multiple chains to single-location mom-and-pop restaurants.
Sales GrowthThe ONE Group is a small restaurant chain, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefitting from better brand awareness and economies of scale. On the other hand, one advantage is that its growth rates can be higher because it's growing off a small base.
As you can see below, the company's annualized revenue growth rate of 35.7% over the last five years was incredible as it added more dining locations and expanded its reach.
This quarter, The ONE Group achieved a magnificent 107% year-on-year revenue growth rate, but its $172.5 million in revenue fell short of Wall Street's lofty estimates. Looking ahead, Wall Street expects sales to grow 121% over the next 12 months, an acceleration from this quarter.
Same-Store SalesThe ONE Group's demand has been shrinking over the last eight quarters, and on average, its same-store sales have declined by 3.5% year on year. This performance isn't ideal and the company should reconsider its growth strategy before opening new restaurants with its precious capital.
In the latest quarter, The ONE Group's same-store sales fell 7% year on year. This decrease was a further deceleration from the 4.7% year-on-year decline it posted 12 months ago. We hope the business can get back on track.
Key Takeaways from The ONE Group's Q2 ResultsWe were impressed by how significantly The ONE Group blew past analysts' gross margin expectations this quarter. We were also glad its EPS outperformed Wall Street's estimates. On the other hand, its revenue unfortunately missed analysts' expectations and its full-year revenue guidance slightly missed Wall Street's estimates. Overall, this was a mediocre quarter for The ONE Group. The stock traded down 7.3% to $3.68 immediately after reporting.
