Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Foreign fixed-income markets from a US investor perspective have been an unappealing asset class lately – with a glaring exception: corporate bonds in emerging markets. Year to date, this slice...

Government bond yields and interest rates have been rising all around the world. And investors aren’t quite sure what to make of it.Perhaps there is some complacency that has set in after years...

Unsurprisingly, the U.S. Federal Reserve made no changes in rates in its recent meeting ruling out the possibility of a rate hike in the coming months. Yet, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has...

Treasury yields rose again following data revealing that the U.S. economy experienced a slower-than-expected growth of just 1.6% on an annualized basis in Q1. Additionally, a core measure of...

The Federal Reserve had previously indicated that incoming economic data, proving that inflation is on a consistent downward trajectory, would be needed to start reducing rates. This statement had...

Bowing to recent data, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday conceded that inflation progress has stalled and the case for rate cuts has weakened.The Treasury market has been effectively...

The bond market has struggled to fully recover from the Federal Reserve’s aggressive run of interest-rate hikes in 2022-2023, but pockets of strength remain conspicuous. Within the fixed-income...

The 10-year treasury bond yield is very closely watched by banks, consumers, and active investors. It is used as a measuring stick for interest rates on loans, bond auctions, etc. When the...

The US 10-year Treasury yield continues to trade well above a ‘fair value’ estimate, based on the average of three models maintained by CapitalSpectator.com.The market premium continues to...

By Benjamin SchroederOverall, we think the bearish sentiment can keep going in the near term. For markets, the main focus remains on the assessment of the US macro backdrop, with plenty of data this...

Even if US yields do slip into the weekend, as is quite possible, there are elements next week that will keep the bear phase element to the fore for bonds (watch core PCE carefully). The ECB simply...

With a Labor Department report showing U.S. consumer prices increased more than expected in January amid rises in the costs of shelter and healthcare, the week did not allow U.S. bond markets to...

Yesterday I outlined the case that several ‘fair-value’ models suggest the current US 10-year Treasury yield appears high relative to the fundamentals.As a quick follow-up, what does a...

The past few months have given investors the feeling that the 3 year (monster) rally in treasury bond yields is over.But the lull may be over. And it’s looking like bond yields (interest rates)...