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Asia Distillates-Gasoil cash differentials flip to premium after nearly 6 months

Published 2021-02-03, 05:50 a/m
© Reuters.

SINGAPORE, Feb 3 (Reuters) - Asia's cash differentials for 10 ppm gasoil flipped to a premium on Wednesday, for the first time in nearly six months, buoyed by active buying interest for physical cargoes.

Cash differentials for gasoil with 10 ppm sulphur content GO10-SIN-DIF rose to a narrow premium of 1 cent a barrel to Singapore quotes, a level not seen since Aug. 7. They were at a discount of 1 cent per barrel on Tuesday.

The February/March time-spread for 10 ppm gasoil in Singapore GO10SGSPDMc0 , which turned to a backwardation this week, traded at a premium of 2 cents per barrel, Refinitiv Eikon data showed.

In backwardation, the prompt-month contract is more expensive than subsequent months. This makes it uneconomical to store the product and leads to a drawdown in stocks, which in turn is usually seen as a sign that prices are likely to head higher in future months.

Lack of arbitrage opportunities and currently high refining run rates in the region, however, could result in abundant supplies and weigh on short-term fundamentals before the spring turnaround season kicks in, trade sources said.

Refining margins or cracks for 10 ppm gasoil GO10SGCKMc1 rose 7 cents to $6.61 a barrel over Dubai crude during Asian trading hours, the strongest level since July last year. The cracks for the benchmark gasoil grade have surged 18.7% in the past week.

INVENTORIES

- Middle-distillate inventories in the Fujairah Oil Industry Zone rose about 15% to 5.2 million barrels in the week ended Feb. 1, data via S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) Platts showed. FUJAIRAH/

- The weekly stocks in Fujairah have averaged 4.5 million barrels so far this year, compared with weekly averages of 4.2 million barrels in 2020, and 2.4 million barrels in 2019, Reuters calculations showed.

- U.S. distillate fuel inventories, which include diesel and heating oil, fell by 1.6 million barrels in the week to Jan. 29, compared with analysts' expectations for a draw of 429,000 barrels, data from industry group the American Petroleum Institute showed on Tuesday. API/S

SINGAPORE CASH DEALS O/AS

- Three gasoil deals, one jet fuel trade

OTHER NEWS

- Oil prices rose on Wednesday after hitting their highest in about a year in the previous session, boosted by an unexpected draw in U.S. crude and gasoline stocks, fuelling demand recovery hopes as OPEC+ forecasts the market will be in deficit in 2021. O/R

ASSESSMENTS MID-DISTILLATES

CASH ($/T)

ASIA CLOSE

Change % Change Prev Close RIC Spot Gas Oil 0.5%

62.25

1.02

1.67

61.23 GO-SIN GO 0.5 Diff

-1.62

-0.02

1.25

-1.6 GO-SIN-DIF Spot Gas Oil 0.25%

62.35

1.02

1.66

61.33 GO25-SIN GO 0.25 Diff

-1.52

-0.02

1.33

-1.5 GO25-SIN-DIF Spot Gas Oil 0.05%

62.62

1.02

1.66

61.6 GO005-SIN GO 0.05 Diff

-1.25

-0.02

1.63

-1.23 GO005-SIN-DIF Spot Gas Oil 0.001%

63.88

1.06

1.69

62.82 GO10-SIN GO 0.001 Diff

0.01

0.02

-200.00

-0.01 GO10-SIN-DIF Spot Jet/Kero

61.23

1.16

1.93

60.07 JET-SIN Jet/Kero Diff

-0.11

0.06

-35.29

-0.17 JET-SIN-DIF

For a list of derivatives prices, including margins,

please double click the RICs below.

Brent M1

BRENTSGMc1

Gasoil M1

GOSGSWMc1

Gasoil M1/M2

GOSGSPDMc1

Gasoil M2

GOSGSWMc2

Regrade M1

JETREGSGMc1

Regrade M2

JETREGSGMc2

Jet M1

JETSGSWMc1

Jet M1/M2

JETSGSPDMc1

Jet M2

JETSGSWMc2

Gasoil 500ppm-Dubai

GOSGCKMc1

Cracks M1

Gasoil 500ppm-Dubai

GOSGCKMc2

Cracks M2

Jet Cracks M1

JETSGCKMc1

Jet Cracks M2

JETSGCKMc2

East-West M1

LGOAEFSMc1

East-West M2

LGOAEFSMc2

LGO M1

LGOAMc1

LGO M1/M2

LGOASPDMc1

LGO M2

LGOAMc2

Crack LGO-Brent M1

LGOACKMc1

Crack LGO-Brent M2

LGOACKMc2

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