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Bond yields ease again as flight to safety continues

Published 2019-06-03, 02:51 p/m
© Reuters.  Bond yields ease again as flight to safety continues
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* U.S. stocks mostly lower in early afternoon trading

* Oil prices down in volatile trading

* Bond price rally drives yields lower

By Caroline Valetkevitch

NEW YORK, June 3 (Reuters) - A flight to safe-haven assets pushed U.S. Treasury yields to their lowest since September 2017 on Monday, while gold prices jumped more than 1%.

A gloomy economic outlook is prompting traders to increase bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Markets appeared to price in higher chances of recession and rate cuts by the Fed and other central banks. have also been seeking protection from market volatility as trade conflicts between the United States and its trading partners have deepened. on U.S. two-year notes US2YT=RR were on track for their biggest two-day fall since 2008, and U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR earlier hit 2.071%, their lowest since September 2017. German government bond yields fell to an all-time low.

"What the bond market is telling us is that all of these pressures put together create a likely economic slowdown which is pushing yields down," said Eric Kuby, chief investment officer, North Star Investment Management Corp in Chicago.

Treasury yields briefly extended their decline following remarks from St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard who said a U.S. rate cut may be "warranted soon" because of global trade tensions and weak U.S. inflation. addition to increasing tariffs on Chinese imports in recent weeks, the White House has hardened its stance toward other countries, including Mexico.

Factory activity slowed in the United States, Europe and Asia last month, while the escalating trade war between Washington and Beijing raised fears of a global economic downturn and heaped pressure on policymakers to step up support. U.S. dollar fell to a 4-1/2-month low earlier against the Japanese yen and a two-month low against the Swiss franc. dollar index .DXY fell 0.54%, while the Japanese yen strengthened 0.37% versus the greenback at 108.13 per dollar.

Nonetheless, an index of global stocks mostly edged higher on Monday after a volatile May that wiped $3 trillion off global equities.

On Wall Street on Monday, stocks were mixed, with the S&P 500 down slightly and Nasdaq falling after regulatory fears sent shares of internet giants Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) sharply lower. concerns that the government is going to get involved and possibly break these companies up or impose fines on their operations is a major concern here," said Robert Pavlik, chief investment strategist and senior portfolio manager at SlateStone Wealth LLC in New York.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 26.97 points, or 0.11%, to 24,842.01, the S&P 500 .SPX lost 4.06 points, or 0.15%, to 2,748 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped 93.91 points, or 1.26%, to 7,359.24.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX rose 0.39% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS gained 0.28%.

In commodities, spot gold XAU= added 1.4% to $1,323.60 an ounce, while U.S. crude CLcv1 fell 0.39% to $53.29 per barrel.

RISING TENSIONS, FALLING ACTIVITY

On Monday, the Institute for Supply Management said its gauge of U.S. manufacturing activity unexpectedly fell in May to the weakest level in more than 2-1/2 years amid global trade tensions. standoff between China and the United States, the two largest economies, goes beyond trade, with tensions running high ahead of the 30th anniversary of a bloody Chinese military crackdown on protesters around Beijing's Tiananmen Square (NYSE:SQ).

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Korea exports

https://tmsnrt.rs/2Kn47VJ Messy May for global markets

https://tmsnrt.rs/2WJboFV US 2-year yield in biggest two day fall since 2008 crisis

https://tmsnrt.rs/2WFaY3b Asian stock markets

: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

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