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Stocks climb, short-dated Treasury yields dip on bets for U.S. rate cut

Published 2019-06-05, 04:37 p/m
© Reuters.  Stocks climb, short-dated Treasury yields dip on bets for U.S. rate cut
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* S&P 500 ends higher for 2nd day

* Two-year U.S. notes slip after ADP (NASDAQ:ADP) jobs data

* Oil slides; data shows surprise build in U.S. crude stockpiles

By Caroline Valetkevitch

NEW YORK, June 5 (Reuters) - Major world stock markets rose and short-dated U.S. Treasury yields fell on Wednesday as investors bet that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates and help boost a sluggish global economy.

Underscoring concerns over growth was a report by U.S. payrolls processor ADP Wednesday that showed U.S. private employers added only 27,000 jobs in May, well below economists' expectations and the smallest monthly gain in more than nine years. a flare-up in trade tensions between the United States and China hurt world stocks in May and triggered fears of an impending recession, comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and other Fed officials this week have provided support for stocks. The policymakers warned that the trade war may force the Fed to respond, prompting investors to price in possible rate cuts. ADP report comes two days ahead of the broader, and more closely watched, jobs report from the U.S. Labor Department.

"Today and yesterday the market was embracing the idea of more weakness in the economy giving the Fed some cover to preemptively cut rates. If the excuse evaporates with a strong jobs number Friday the market might be disappointed by that," said Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) in Boston.

In the futures market, federal funds contracts implied traders have priced in a 55% chance the Fed would reduce borrowing costs by at least 75 basis points by year-end, up from 51% late Tuesday and 14% a week earlier, CME Group's (NASDAQ:CME) FedWatch tool showed.

In another positive for equities, Republican Senator Chuck Grassley predicted the United States and Mexico would be able to strike a deal to avert tariffs that U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened to impose on Mexican imports. Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 207.39 points, or 0.82%, to 25,539.57, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 22.88 points, or 0.82%, to 2,826.15, and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 48.36 points, or 0.64%, to 7,575.48.

MSCI's broad gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS was up for a third day, rising 0.7%. The pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX rose 0.38%.

In the U.S. Treasuries market, yields on U.S. two-year notes US2YT=RR - sensitive to traders' views on Fed policy - were 3.20 basis points lower, at 1.841%, after hitting 1.773%, the lowest level since December 2017.

The spread between two- and 10-year yields US2US10=TWEB grew to near 31 basis points, the widest in seven months. U.S. dollar was higher in late U.S. trading, reversing early losses.

The dollar index .DXY , which tracks the greenback versus a basket of six currencies, rose 0.261 points, or 0.27 percent, to 97.333. The Japanese yen weakened 0.27% versus the greenback at 108.45 per dollar.

Oil prices resumed their recent slide, extending losses after data showing a surprise build in U.S. crude stockpiles. U.S. crude CLcv1 fell 3.37% to settle at $51.68 a barrel. Brent futures LCOc1 settled down $1.34, or 2.2%, at $60.63.

Gold prices gained as the U.S. rate cut bets encouraged investors to flock toward bullion. Spot gold XAU= was up 0.4% at $1,329.57 per ounce. GRAPHIC-World FX rates in 2019

http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh GRAPHIC-MSCI All Country Wolrd Index Market Cap

http://tmsnrt.rs/2EmTD6j GRAPHIC-Emerging markets in 2019

http://tmsnrt.rs/2ihRugV

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