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GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade hopes support China, sterling totters on Brexit turmoil

Published 2018-12-11, 01:47 a/m
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Trade hopes support China, sterling totters on Brexit turmoil
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* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Pound near 20-month trough on Brexit related uncertainty

* Disappointing economic data, Sino-U.S. trade war weigh

* Chinese shares bounce on trade optimism, sentiment cautious

* Focus on Indian markets after RBI governor resigned

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Dec 11 (Reuters) - Chinese shares rose on Tuesday after Beijing confirmed it was still in trade talks with Washington, but investor confidence remained fragile in Asia after Britain's prime minister postponed a Brexit vote, sending the pound to near 20-month lows.

Despite deepening political uncertainty in Britain, spreadbetters expected a positive start for Europe with FTSE futures FFIc1 seen rising 0.7 percent. But e-minis for the S&P500 ESc1 and Dow futures 1YMc1 were both down 0.3 percent.

"The global growth drivers that produced the regional upturn have started to fade," S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) Ratings said in a note as it lowered forecasts for almost every country in the Asia-Pacific.

"We continue to see mainly downside risks to our Asia-Pacific growth forecasts," it added. "Global trade and investment friction remain top of mind for Asia. If friction escalates, the key casualty would be manufacturing investment."

Disappointing data from major economies including China and Japan have fanned worries about corporate earnings and factory output, with the Sino-U.S. trade battle clouding the outlook for world growth.

These uncertainties have put the brakes on equities this year, with MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS skidding more than 16 percent after surging 33.5 percent in 2017.

The MSCI ex-Japan index reversed earlier losses but was still near a three-week trough touched on Monday.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 slipped 0.3 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index .HSI was off 0.1 percent.

India's NSE share index .NSEI tumbled in early trade after the shock resignation of the country's central bank governor late on Monday, but the benchmark later pared losses and inched into positive territory. in India are now cautiously awaiting results from crucial state elections due later in the day. Some exit poll suggested Prime Minister Narendra Modi may be facing his biggest defeat since he took office in 2014, and months ahead of a general election. shares inched up on news that the country's Vice Premier Liu He had spoken with U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, exchanging views on pushing forward the next stage of trade talks. equities opened in the positive territory and the blue-chip index .CSI300 was last up 0.1 percent. Australian shares gained 0.4 percent while the Aussie dollar AUD=D4 bounced too. the gains were tentative as markets fretted over the prospects for a lasting resolution to a trade dispute that has turned increasingly bitter in the past several months. expect concerns over growth to dominate in 2019," a BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research report said.

"The evolution of the US-China trade conflict and a sharp slowdown in China presents the biggest risk to our outlook for ASEAN."

"A faster de-escalation could help cushion the slowdown but is unlikely to reinvigorate the economic cycle which has matured."

POUNDED

Adding to the gloom in markets, British Prime Minister Theresa May abruptly postponed a parliamentary vote on her Brexit agreement on Monday, a move that hit risk assets globally and sent the pound GBP= spiralling down to $1.2505. slumped below important chart support around $1.26.

With the European Union refusing to renegotiate the deal, lawmakers doubted her chances of winning big changes. May's abrupt decision opened up a range of possibilities from a Brexit without a deal, a last-minute agreement or another referendum on EU membership. currency was last at $1.2571, up 0.1 percent.

The dollar fell on the yen JPY= to 113.14. Its index against a basket of major currencies .DXY slipped 0.1 percent to 97.078.

The greenback has jumped 5.5 percent so far this year on safe-haven demand and as the U.S. Federal Reserve stayed on its gradual policy tightening path.

However, uncertainties over how much further the Fed will tighten have turned bullish dollar bets sour lately. commodities, oil prices were nursing steep losses from the previous session. O/R

U.S. crude futures CLc1 were flat at $51 per barrel. Brent LCOc1 added 2 cents to $59.99.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Asia stock markets

https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4 Asia-Pacific valuations

https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Editing by Jacqueline Wong, Shri Navaratnam & Kim Coghill)

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